FenderJazzBass, on 23 January 2013 - 06:44 AM, said:
The last two objects are flying in formation.
O rly?
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I could say that till i'm blue in the face
Yes, you could. Repeating something endlessly, without actually giving an explanation, is one way of impressing those lacking in knowledge, I guess..
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however it takes experience to recognize the truth of it.
Actually,
claimed experience isn't really worth anything on the Interwebz (often precisely the reverse), and sometimes 'experience' may simply give someone over-confidence, especially in trying to analyse an environment in which they are *not* experienced. So, FJB, you have spent time in orbit? Studied orbital mechanics in the sort of detail required to understand all the issues I raised above, and more? If not, then your experience may not be what you wish it to be... The thing is, if you have two or more objects of similar mass near each other, that were given an initial velocity by some event and that are then affected by one or more velocity changing forces.. w
hat else will they do but 'fly in formation'?
The thing is, making a claim about expertise is worth a helluva lot less than just stating a logical step-by-step thought process, outlined sensibly..
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Thats the problem with sightings and skeptics. If the skeptic has no experience or is ignorant, the expert can go on and on and on
Yes, they can, and the readers might be wise to just question their expertise. Readers are welcome to question mine too - but then to consider what I present, here and elsewhere..
I'd suggest that in fact the biggest problem with sightings is the lack of provenance - just like in this 'case'. Here we have no details of the footage, so it cannot be investigated usefully.
As far as I am concerned, any suggestion that this shows something of great interest is highly tempered by the fact that we can't even check if this is a simple example of After Effects at work..! let alone look at original full-res footage, let alone use date/time/mission information to eliminate a variety of potential causes.
And I might add here - that is EXACTLY what NASA does - it investigates incidents of concern in exactly that way - looking in detail at what maneuvers the craft was making, if there were any outgassings/exhaust plumes, etc. If anyone is interested in a couple of examples - yes - REAL RESEARCH!, here's a suggestion for you - try the following two links, both authored by someone who posts here and I'm guessing is one of the experts that FJB seems to dislike so much - Jim Oberg.
http://www.jamesoberg.com/sts48.html (About the STS-48 'Zig-Zag' Video)
http://www.jamesober...ated-debris.PDF (3Mb PDF file - analysis of ISS/Shuttle debris dangers)
Have a look at those pages in detail - read them carefully, note the citations and information presented. Then compare to what has been posted here about this unidentified, possibly unidentifiable, video footage and ask yourself who is the expert..
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I'm starting to believe skeptics are just jealous spineless cowards who will refuse to believe anything unless they put it in their mouths and smash their head on it, even then they may not believe it because the truth is terrifying to them.
Oh. OK.

I think I'll just avoid the ad hominems and let the readers decide whether that little rant helped your credibility at all...
Anyway, to those here that wish to discuss politely and amicably, any sign of that provenance yet? I, and I suspect Jim Oberg and many others, will happily return to discuss and debate if that appears. Even though we are
absolutely terrified..