psyche101, on 17 August 2012 - 12:01 AM, said:
Cool, thanks. I shall peruse as time allows.
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Aren't the documents we are dealing with a form of hearsay though? And I have to admit, how did this get so incredibly widespread so quickly? It indicates possible pre-emption.
Let me respond in two parts. First off,
all documents are hearsay of one order or another. One major difference is that documents remain stable over time as a rule while word of mouth changes, perhaps not intentionally but it still changes. Memory slips and it can be misinterpreted. This is one reason documents stand up in court where hearsay doesn't.
The spread is easy. The story was published in the local paper and put on the wire. Media outlets love anything sensational and that event was, to say the least, sensational. UFOs were and I guess still are major news. (I haven't seen a newspaper or watched/listened to the news since I got here. That's part of what I was so intent on escaping from although I was only partially successful.) Add to that people wanting to tell Great Aunt Millie in Debuque who will spread the story via gossip and you have a second method for it to spread. The we add in the UFO folks, the curious and the souvenir collectors for their versions which also spread out via an assortment of means. All in all, it would be difficult to contain something like that. The situation at Socorro was not like that at Roswell where the number of eye witnesses was, contrary to the ever growing number, extremely limited and limited to a controllable group. Socorro was uncontrolled until the federal level presence and by the time the feds - including the military - got there it was uncontrollable. The best they could do was spin management ... kind of like Kelly Johnson's "lenticular clouds."
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Well, there is a terrestrial explanation, wether one believes it is valid or not is another story. And again I allude to the mystery airships of the lat 1890's
I mentioned Ezekial's Wheel on another thread and, yes, the source documents for that are somewhat suspect but it's a good starting point. Unexplainable things have been seen in the sky and reported in one form or another at least since then and possibly before.
This is pure speculation but bear with me. Coming into more modern times, da Vinci invented several flying machines, several of which have since been shown to actually work, and the manned hot air and hydrogen balloons came into being in the late 1700s. The first
known manned, powered and steerable dirigible was built in 1852. (
http://en.wikipedia....ffard_dirigible ) Practical steam power has been known to some degree or another since 1600 or so and paddle wheels since well before that as was the screw, more importantly including the air screw (propellor.) It is therefore very possible that someone beat Giffard but wasn't so well known. In any event, it's entirely possible that those mystery airships were quite terrestrial and man made.
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We have strange things happening in the skies that befuddle people and a long history of enigmatic appearances that are certainly not alien, as such, I feel there simply has to be more to understand as opposed to discover.
This is a good part of my reasoning behind preferring UAP over UFO. It allows room for atmospheric anomalies of which we have little if any understanding. We don't know everything about our own world which means we can't discount the possibility that what has been observed isn't natural.
Something I should add is that as a once upon a time pilot, what I shared airspace with was of prime importance to me. If ET was in my airspace, I wanted to know about it. It still is a concern even though I don't fly anymore simply because others still do. Have I seen things in the air I couldn't identify while I was flying? Yep. And a few times I got on the radio to see if ATC had anything on radar. Sometimes they did and had a positive ID and other times not so much. A couple times they asked if I wanted to report anything and I answered that I had no idea what I was looking at so hadn't a clue what to report. They seemed rather relieved at that response.
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You say that it definitely was not a balloon, I don't suppose you would like to elaborate further on your own reasons? I have looked into that and according to all documentation from the time frame and find it is a pretty decent explanation to be honest.
First, let's look at the wind and the object's path. It rose vertically approximately 20' then traveled horizontally
against the wind, accelerating as it did. David Rudiak did the legwork on that and the link to it -
http://www.roswellpr...il_24_1964.html . I have to agree with his assessment of the wind conditions and note they agree with witness statements including Officer Zamora's. With the last part of the visible flight being again upward at a rapid pace, without any downwind component, the balloon concept becomes difficult to buy.
Second is identification. Officer Zamora was close enough to the object to be able to see what it was - or wasn't. If it had been a balloon, it would have been terribly obvious at the less than 50' distance between him and it. Note that at this point he was still wearing his glasses so Bragalia's continuous inference that he was unable to see fails. In fact the only time Officer Zamora was without his glasses was one time around 15-30 seconds from when he stumbled on the way past his car to when he returned to it after the object went silent. Further, another set of witnesses, tourists at a gas station, also saw the object pass at low altitude and commented on the "low flying aircraft".
Third is the flame. It was blue on top and yellow on the bottom plus formed a very narrow cone. Every flame I have ever seen used to do anything like lift a Chinese lantern or, in this case, balloon had the hot part - the blue part - at the bottom. The coolest part is red fading to infrared then orange then yellow - which is the part most visible - then green then blue etc which is the hottest region. (Side note: "Red hot" is somewhat a misnomer. "White hot" would be significantly closer to really truly hottity hot.) The shape of the flame is telling as well. It's typical of one coming from a well designed nozzle. Assuming something like a propane burner as a heat source (Very little else would be able to handle the volume.), the flame goes up and is pretty ragged with its only purpose being to provide heat. And then there's the heat. An experiment was done to find out how much heat and for how long to fuse the sand where the object had taken off from. At 2200 deg F, it took 25 minutes. That's about the heat from a propane flame.
Sooo ... Did they aim the burner down through a rather impressive venturi (nozzle) for that long to heat the air in the balloon and, as a side benefit, cause some of the sand to fuse with a good portion of their heat being lost due to the wind as well as the flame being kicked around then do a final burn just long enough to get it aloft and figure out a way to get it to travel several miles against the wind then cut it loose to escape vertically? Or would the simpler answer of an unknown object of equally unknown origin that left trace similar to other events be the better choice?
Also, on chasing down added information, it turns out the school in question is pretty small plus anything that elaborate would have required more than 3-6 students. Several students who were there at the time flat out said it wasn't one of their pranks.
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It falls down in some of the revised versions, but from the official documents, I have seen nobody ever post a good reason to discount them, and if that did exist, surely we would not even be discussing balloons?
We're discussing balloons because Bragalia claims it was a balloon and apparently he's the Lord High Executioner of Socorro.
Gotta love conspiracy theories. There are so many to choose from.
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