lost_shaman, on 05 March 2012 - 07:51 AM, said:
I just agreed to the numbers, but I don't think 450 miles is anything but a minimum. Can you show otherwise?
The key word here being "think." You don't KNOW, you BELIEVE. You've once again ignored the technical questions I asked.
lost_shaman, on 05 March 2012 - 07:51 AM, said:
We know the CSM-LM fired it's engines and altered it's orbit. The panel's did not. This what we've considered a minimum distance. Thats my view cqb you show it to ve wrong?
You're handwaving to avoid answering my question. You said, "No I've only pointed out these were a minimum distance and that true distances are assuradly quite a bit greater." The 453 mile distance calculation you're referring to was
already an attempt to account for the two CSM/LM maneuvers. I asked you why you're so sure the true distances are quite a bit greater than that. Your reply above completely avoids my question.
lost_shaman, on 05 March 2012 - 07:51 AM, said:
That's not true. Where have I done what you are saying?
You've been very dismissive in this thread of any opposing evidence you consider to be anecdotal. In response to an absolutely true statement by MID that the Apollo separation & recontact studies required large-scale computer calculation, you posted:
lost_shaman, on 13 December 2011 - 01:58 AM, said:
That's just an anecdote that MID said.
In response to this NASA report:
Analysis not included in this report and presently in progress where potential recontact areas may exist includes aborts occurring during the translunar injection (TLI) phase of Apollo missions E, F, and G, midcourse corrections or maneuvering effects upon panel relative motion during Apollo missions F and G, and the post lunar orbit insertion (LOI) maneuver effects upon panel relative motion for Apollo E mission. These studies will be published as completed in later reports.
MSC INTERNAL NOTE NO. 68-FM-160, SLA Panel Jettison Separation and Recontact Analysis, p. 2
You posted:
lost_shaman, on 13 December 2011 - 03:44 AM, said:
Other than Anecdote, there is no evidence that NASA did any math either as recommended in the July '68 recontact analysis or after the Crew's debriefing.
You're basically accusing the report authors of lying about the work they said was "in progress" simply because you couldn't find the later reports online.
And then, of course, we have the crew statements. Here are two statements by Neil Armstrong followed by your posted comments:
Armstrong Statement 1
"We should say that it was right at the limit of the resolution of the eye. It was very difficult to tell just what shape it was. And there was no way to tell the size without knowing the range or the range without knowing the size."
Apollo 11 Technical Crew Debriefing, p. 6-35
lost_shaman, on 18 November 2011 - 03:31 AM, said:
I'm not sure about that exact terminology useage or frequency by the crew, but they would certainly know how to describe an objects size. As such Armstrong's clarification that it was near the limit is very precise in that it means the Angular size was about 60 arcseconds or slightly above that.
Armstrong Statement 2
"We did watch a slow blinking light some substantial distance away from us. Mission Control eventually concluded--and I agree--that it was one of the Saturn LM Adapter panels."
First Man, Hansen, 2005, p. 431
lost_shaman, on 01 December 2011 - 08:06 AM, said:
What I have said is that no-ones ever seen any evidence other than anecdote that Mission control concluded it was an SLA Panel.
Two statements by a crewmember directly involved in the sighting. In the statement you agree with, Armstrong is a well-qualified observer whose statement is absolutely reliable and "very precise." In the second statement, Armstrong is so unreliable that you can't even trust his account of a basic post-mission event (that Mission Control looked into the sighting). In other posts, you even discount his statment about the slow, blinking light.
This entire sighting is nothing but anecdote. There is no data, just the crew's comments. You've been very selective about which of those comments you consider reliable.
lost_shaman, on 01 December 2011 - 08:06 AM, said:
Yes that is what he was talking about when he said this was the case with all the missions except 17 which they could not observe.
<SNIP>
Well that didn't include TMO because weather only prevented TMO from observing apollo 17.
Show me a source which states that TMO observed Apollo 11 on the outbound leg. James Young's site (
link) only states, "During the Apollo program, I observed all of the lunar missions with the exception of Apollo 17, the last one, because of clouds at the observatory." That says nothing at all about whether he made the observations on the outbound trip, the inbound trip, or both.
The November 1969 issue of "Sky and Telescope" contains an article documenting the recorded ground observations of Apollo 11. I happen to own a copy of this issue. It says:
This time, successful observations of the spacecraft were very few, for the moonward trajectory of Apollo 11 soon after it left its parking orbit was unfavorable for North American viewers. Weather conditions were generally poor.
The only observation listed for Table Mountain Observatory is a sighting of the inbound CSM on July 24 at 5:12-5:24 UT. So, unless you have another source showing an outbound observation by TMO, I think your above comments are incorrect.
lost_shaman, on 01 December 2011 - 08:06 AM, said:
And your default position is that it must be a panel because you don't know where the pqnels where. At least I agreed with what other said because I can show panel doesn't fit the evidence.
I think you need to go back and review my posts on this topic over the past five years or so. That's not my "default position" at all. I don't know what the crew saw and I don't believe anything can be proven one way or the other. Even if we could find an old NASA trajectory run that put a panel 10 miles from the spacecraft, it wouldn't prove anything. It's entirely possible the crew could have been looking at some other object. My only intent here is to try to show you that YOU haven't proved anything, either. This is an orbital mechanics problem -- the details matter. You don't know in which direction the panels were ejected, you don't know their velocity, and you're ignoring gravity, yet you're completely unable to explain
why you can do this and still get a valid answer.