Corp, on 07 January 2013 - 09:25 PM, said:
Meh this is just an attempt to distract people from Argentine's bad economy. Nothing will come of it. Until the next time Kirchner needs to try and trick her voters from seeing the bad job she's doing.
I agree on the surface but we thought the same last time, we thought the same in 1977. - we now know the Argies had plans to invade the Falklands. it wasn't until 1981 with Galtieri rise to power - and it was agreed an invasion would take place within two years, they planned for an invasion once the British removed the patrol ship 'Endurance'
they planned for an invasion late in the year when the winter conditions in the South Atlantic would make the British re-taking the islands impossible. the (argies) plans come unstuck with the incident with the scrap metal workers when we sent in marines to remove them. this forced the hand of the argies to invade sooner. and the rest is history as they say.
But remember this all happened with the backdrop of Social unrest in Argentina. The unpopular budget cuts and economic situation made the Juntas position unclear, much of what happened then we can see happening today.
If we read the report after the Falklands War by the UK government we'll find the Foreign Office expected Argentina to take Three steps before invasion if at all, as regards to the Falklands - step 1 - was to go to the UN, step 2 - was to use economic force, IE blocking supply routes, cutting off oil supplies, sea links etc... 3 - was military action.
If you think to the present day - Step 1✔ They have been to the UN. - Step 2 ✔ they have directly disrupted the Falklands economy, by stopping cruise ships, targeting fishing vessels, and oil exploration etc... - This is why we should learn from our mistakes and not allow step 3. however unlikely. their armed forces in 1982 had budget cuts, but they made sure their Navy/Airforce had acquired the new Exocet missles and the French Etendard. we planned to send a task force before 1982 to send a warning but because then - like today its costs an arm and a leg to divert ships, and cancel NATO operations. but if i was the UK Government i'd send two Frigates and one of the new Type 45 destroyers, with possibly a Sub. regardless of the cost. if we learn from history we wont repeat the mistakes.