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How Close Is Doomsday?

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#1    Still Waters

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 03:27 PM

How close are we to the end? How close are we to being among the last humans to ever live? Depending on who you are — your religion, politics, relative degree of pessimism or optimism — that question is bound to bring up images of some particular kind of cataclysm. It could be an all-out nuclear exchange or a climate change-driven mass extinction. But what if there was a way of answering the doomsday question in the most generic way possible.

http://www.npr.org/b...ose-is-doomsday

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#2    GreenmansGod

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 03:47 PM

Something I don't worry about.  Today is good, that is all I need. Tomorrow, a rock might fall from the sky take me out. Oh well, tt was fun while it lasted.

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#3    Ashotep

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 03:47 PM

How close is doomsday, probably closer than we think.


#4    StarMountainKid

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 03:53 PM

I think we are close to the end of civilization as we now know it. With exponential population growth, global warming, threats of nuclear war, it can't go on like this forever, can it? One day something's got to give. The human race will have to re-adjust itself to a new environment. A new political and social environment.

I'd give it another hundred years.

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#5    spud the mackem

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 05:12 PM

Doomsday doesnt worry me, unless I survive then I would be in deep ****.

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#6    Jeffertonturner

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 07:11 PM

Hopefully not in our life time...

Well maybe near the end of mine.. That would be ok. ;)

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#7    shaddow134

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Posted 07 April 2013 - 10:48 PM

Who cares as long as the Bar stays open.

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#8    SurgeTechnologies

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:08 AM

View PostDarkwind, on 07 April 2013 - 03:47 PM, said:

Something I don't worry about.  Today is good, that is all I need. Tomorrow, a rock might fall from the sky take me out. Oh well, tt was fun while it lasted.

I see but what if something happens in next 5 minutes? Quake, asteroid, explosion of any kind? It can happen anytime anywhere...

That is why i am starting to understand the nature of preppers.

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#9    Asadora

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 09:47 AM

Personally, I think we have slowly been in the midst of a on-going 'doomsday' that seems to just carry on from day to day. So slow that we do not -see it- happening all at once.
It could be very well possible that there will come a time to when we will wish that everything did end in one big swoop.
We have good days. We have bad days. But I think as a whole, that everything we have come to know has already changed enough to make us expect a 'lesser standard' of living.

'Remember the days when you could leave your front door unlocked?'
"Yeah. Now, I just have to make sure that I lock my smartphone."

I realise that because we are Humans, we have this adopted thinking of 'It's all gonna end one day.' We often expect the worse, dwell on it and forget that we can actually -try- to make it better. For me, in this regard, that is why I think that we are already in the 'doomsday' stages because our light of 'hope' is fading.

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#10    TwilightSilver

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 10:42 AM

Well said Asadora. Well said.

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#11    Hazzard

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 10:45 AM

We expect that the Sun will become a red giant in about 5 billion years. As a result it will expand and swallow the inner planets, Mercury and Venus. However the Suns expansion will also result in an expansion of the Earths orbit, and it has not been conclusively determined if the diameter of the Sun will reached the Earths new orbit.

Having said that, we will have still reached the end of the world with regard to its ability to sustain life.

THAT is the end of the world.

I still await the compelling Exhibit A.

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#12    TheSearcher

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 11:19 AM

The Doomsday argument, as suggested by the article, does not say that humanity cannot or will not exist indefinitely. It does not put any upper limit on the number of humans that will ever exist, nor provide a date for when humanity will become extinct.
An abbreviated form of the argument does make these claims, by confusing probability with certainty. However, the actual DA's conclusion is: There is a 95% chance of extinction within 9,120 years. Still a while to go and by then who knows if we have not already left this puny planet and settled elsewhere.

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#13    Sundew

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 12:35 PM

There are certainly many ways for humanity to suffer a fatal or near fatal blow. Wether we are wiped out by a gamma ray burst or merely devolve into anarchy. They thing that is new in some ways is the continual mention of this. Last night I was a restaurant and on a television over the bar was an entire hour show about this very subject. There were asteroids falling, super-volcanos erupting, diseases escaping and on and on. It makes me wonder if the media does not attempt to keep up in a state of perpetual fear (or on the flip side perpetually entertained with Glee and Dances with the Stars, etc.) so we don't notice the real trouble our country and the world is in: debt up to our eyeballs, lackluster leadership and out of control spending.

Of course there is that little hand-granade with the bad haircut over in N. Korea........


#14    ancient astronaut

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 12:54 PM

Here we go again.


#15    Mikami

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Posted 08 April 2013 - 01:10 PM

hmmm this is a bit of old news






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