Br Cornelius, on 28 July 2012 - 04:28 PM, said:
Doug you are mistaken about Fracked gas been the the bridge fuel. Due to the short range of each well it requires vastly larger numbers of wells to extract the same amount of gas as a conventional well.
If you mean conventional gas wells, you may be right, but conventional gas wells are drilled in sandstone which is porous enough to yield large amounts of gas. But we are running out of sandstone deposits. What is left? Shale. And to extract natural gas from shale requires fracking.
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Each well has a certain amount of leakage (mainly through sustained well casing pressure which is endemic to all gas wells and there are no viable remedial actions available to cure it once it is there).
About 4% of gas escapes, based on a study in eastern Colorado.
I know of an old gas field on the Alleghany National Forest with old wells leaking a steady stream of gas and I wonder if we could either use it, or cap it.
In the Baaken, the wells are being drilled for oil, but gas is a byproduct. There is no pipeline to get the gas to market, so it is just burned off. My daughter said she could see 18 flares from her current well. The proposed Keystone Pipe Line right-of-way would allow the construction of a second pipeline beside the first one. However, I don't believe that's an adequate reason for building Keystone.
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With one single conventional well this represents a rather minor element of the overall extracted gas. With the massive number of wells needed for fracking it represents a significant proportion of overall extracted gas.
I think we are running out of places to put conventional wells. It costs three to five million dollars to drill just one well (and one in six is a dry hole). If what you're saying is true, economics will dictate the end of fracking in favor of drilling in sandstone deposits.
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I am certain you are aware that Methane is one of the most powerful greenhouse gases, and I am also certain that you are aware that the Duke University study estimates that the greenhouse impact of losses from fracked well is equal or greater then the equivalent amount of coal. Couple this to the vast range of other environmental impacts of Fracking and it has to be asked - would it not be more sensible to just stick with coal?
Natural gas does not release many of the poisonous gases and particulates that coal does. At any rate, I am only backing this as a stopgap until better alternatives (like wind, solar and, possibly, nuclear) can take over.
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This is an industry driven push out attempting to soak up the excess drilling expertise and capacity which will become increasingly redundant as conventional reserves decline.
At least in Oklahoma, I think we will be running out of frackable sites within ten years. Gas is only a stopgap, whatever happens. The well on my own place is declining in output (I make about $25 a month now, down from $3000 a month fifteen years ago.).
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Fracking is not a path to a sustainable future - it is madness on every level which will inevitably help accelerate climate change through direct emissions to air and will lead to widespread pollution of water supplies (a dwindling and precious resource) . There are no long term reliable ways of making well casings immune to sustained gas pressure and to claim that it is down to bad operators is to ignore the readily available industry data that makes all operators bad by that definition.
Doug I know you have a personal interest in this subject - but I believe that you position is entirely indefensible when the evidence is looked at impartially. It is no coincidence that the industry went to considerable lengths to corrupt both the political and environmental oversight processes because they were fully aware from a very early stage that any impartial scientific analysis of the impacts would have stopped this technology in its tracks.
Fracking is just a distraction from the herculean task of building a really sustainable energy future based on renewables. There are to many vested interests placing roadblocks along the way and when environmentalist start to support dubious unsustainable technologies such as Fracking and nuclear it makes the transition even harder.
Br Cornelius
I fully agree that we need to put more effort into renewable energy and less into propping up coal, gas and oil. I think if all energy sources had to compete on an equal basis, wind would come off pretty well. It is already cheaper than gas, coal and oil.
Thanks for your comments. I enjoy appreciate your opinions.
Doug
If I have seen farther than other men, it is because I stood on the shoulders of giants. --Albert Einstein
Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons for thou art crunchy and go good with ketchup.