Capt Amerika, on 10 July 2012 - 03:33 PM, said:
Its been a lot quieter recently because Al Gore has his Millions of dollars from speaking out about Global Warming and the evil Humans and now that we have peaked at the Solar Maximum its time for him to go away because over the next 5 -10 years we will see temps going back the other direction.
Climate is always changing, its not something new.
The solar cycle has been around since forever. It's not actually a cycle, but it is pretty close to being one. If it is what is driving global temps, then we should see temperature patterns repeating themselves in roughly nine-year cycles. There would be no new records being set. We'd just be repeating what has happened before.
Instrumental records in the central US go back to 1891 - that's called the "modern" record. Military records go back to 1828, except in Oklahoma - it was Indan territory so nobody thought it was worth keeping records. Before that, I have tree-ring records (shortleaf pine) going back to 1650. There are some post oak records that go back farther. Bristlecone records from California go back 8400 years and the European oak chronology goes back to the Ice Age. All show nothing much happening before 1908 and nearly-continuous temperature rise since then.
Since 1908, the world in general and Oklahoma, in particular, have been getting warmer. There was a brief decline in temps in the 1950s and 1960s, but otherwise, it has been getting warmer and that includes the slow-down in temperature rise since 1998. This is not at all cyclical. This is something new - something that can't be explained on the basis of natural cycles.
The term "climate change" has somewhat replaced the term "global warming" because it doesn't make sense to say "warming" when you're talking about changing rainfall patterns. Nevertheless, global warming is what "climate change" is really all about, so the two are pretty much interchangeable.
The evidence isn't all in yet, but the "wild" weather of the past five years is what we expect "climate change" to look like in the near term. If "global warming" is not happening, then this wild weather will calm down and return to normal in the next few years; on the other hand, if global warming is real, what we are seeing is just the beginning and there is a lot worse to come. Stay tuned.
Doug
If I have seen farther than other men, it is because I stood on the shoulders of giants. --Albert Einstein
Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons for thou art crunchy and go good with ketchup.