You have to be a cardinal first, you can speak rules, I will speak custom, in the middle a truth will reveal itself. Laity have no chance in hell to be elected is the bottom line.
And yet the last time a Pope resigned was 1415. 2 months ago if anyone said the current pope is going to resign everyone would have said yeah right like that has a snowballs chance in hell of happening. So you may not want to be so hard set in what you think is going to happen because at this point anything has a chance of occuring.