supercar Posted July 29, 2008 #1 Share Posted July 29, 2008 Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among "likely" voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of "registered" voters. By both measures, the race is tight. The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%. Among registered voters, McCain still trails Obama, but by less. He is behind by 3 percentage points in the new poll (47%-44%) vs. a 6-point disadvantage (48%-42%) in late June. Results based on the survey of 791 likely voters have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points -- so McCain's lead is not outside that range. Results based on the survey of 900 registered voters also have margins of error of +/- 4 percentage points. Gallup editor Frank Newport tells Jill that "registered voters are much more important at the moment," because Election Day is still 100 days away, but that the likely-voter result suggests that it may be possible for McCain to energize Republicans and turn them out this fall. http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/...-for-mccai.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
questionmark Posted July 29, 2008 #2 Share Posted July 29, 2008 - Post removed - The only thing he has.... and it seem that Dubya V2.0's counselors don't have much more either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AROCES Posted July 29, 2008 #3 Share Posted July 29, 2008 (edited) These early polls really are irrelevant. Anyone who has a lead of better than 4 points in majority of polls in the final 4 weeks of the election would be in a good position. One note, NEWSWEEK polls always shows a Democrat leading, they probably poll the same people again and again. Edited July 29, 2008 by AROCES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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