and then, on 06 January 2013 - 12:40 AM, said:
The next chance for Republicans to humiliate themselves and their party is at hand. We have until the end of February for Boehner and company to wring their hands and threaten. The real question is for the credit agencies. Will they downgrade US debt again? If Oby stands tough and the repubs refuse to raise the debt limit then he will invoke some obscure rule to unilaterally raise the debt limit. But the credit agencies will have the last word, won't they?
I think a few foreign central banks are going to get the hint before most of the credit agencies do. It's alarming if our capacity to borrow is propped up by some artificially fluffed up credit ratings. If you follow the money, the US taxpayer is the reason our credit stays so high. Our debt is still the most reasonably assured that it'll get paid. Which seems crazy to me in this new era of $1 trillion+ deficits. When our economy shows another recession, that might be the moment when we lose our current global currency reserve status. In the financial markets the US has performed very well against her contemporaries. If we follow the money and where the buyers are, we're still the best major game in town. It surprises me though.
I don't know how many more dollars China and Co. will take. As long as Asia keeps getting interest payments (and outgrowing us substantially), they might continue to actually believe, even pretend to believe that we're going to pay this debt off. I think people are so entitled to so many things these days, there's not a prayer of that happening. Who are the politicians in either party making paying the debt the issue?
I don't mean to get political about this but I think the Occupy movement was more about continuing the spending than anything else. Obama kept his foot on the floor and the movement lost its relevancy. That was
so last year, though.