ExpandMyMind, on 30 May 2012 - 08:36 AM, said:
There is no 'Iranian nuclear weapons project'. At least according to all Western intelligence agencies.
This was not directed specifically at Iran. It was state created software designed to hit many Middle Eastern countries, including Israel, Syria, Saudi Arabia and others.
My guess is that it is from the American or British intelligence, and that it is the main reason they both know and have stated that Iran are not in the process of creating a nuclear weapon.
Once uranium has been processed to be used for medical isotopes, 97% of the work is completed to create fuel for a bomb. That extra 3% takes about one month to complete. With the facility at Qom being steadily upgraded with more centrifuges that time might even be reduced. Apparently the US and other Western intel agencies are not very good when it suits you to say so (Iraq) and quite sufficient at other times (Iran nukes). Frankly, I think most here wouldn't bet the farm on Iran not readying themselves to build nukes. And since the entire bleeding WORLD with the exception of Iran's allies, are willing to sanction them to the point of starting a shooting war, your point seems a little hollow.
They have the delivery system. A simple design for a "gun type" weapon doesn't even need testing ( the "Little Boy" design wasn't tested). So their non existent weapons program has them in pretty good shape for a bomb with about 60-90 days notice. With it they begin to build "alliances" based on fear with other countries in the region.
I have vacillated on the will they attack, won't they attack based on the actions of Israel and US government spokesmen(as if either could be trusted) but it occurs to me that Israel has been able to survive by being bold and attacking first when needed. When the Iranian bomb appears they will have to be tuned to a hair trigger with their own nukes. They cannot trust Iran enough for the types of communications the East and West relied on in the 60s and 70s. Bottom line is I think Israel will feel it MUST avoid such a situation. They'll take the initiative and to hell with the response from the world.
Edited by and then, 31 May 2012 - 01:09 AM.