Babe Ruth, on 20 November 2012 - 02:32 PM, said:
But as to the "precedent" in your first paragraph, aren't we just talking about statistics? If it is true that no modern(term should be defined) steel and concrete buildings have fallen thusly from fire, then the WTC buildings certainly present a huge anomaly from the statistical perspective. And then probability might come into play....?
That is, if it never happened before, isn't it a bit strange for it to happen 3 times in one afternoon?
This is starting to overlap some of the topics I'm discussing with Q and to whom I'm starting to gradually put together a more thorough response, but real quick here's my issue with what you and I are discussing. Compare these two arguments:
1:
CT: This Dubai high-rise is yet another example of how buildings don't collapse from fire, thereby making the WTC collapses a 'huge anomaly" and improbability
LG: In order for precedent to be of any use, you have to compare like to like, and this example is so significantly different from WTC and 9/11 that how it behaves tells us almost nothing of how WTC should behave.
CT: (unknown response, assuming it's along the lines of 'well it's close enough')
2:
LG: Look at the pictures sky has been kind enough to take the time to post showing steel buildings collapsing from fire alone, not even including a plane ramming it, I guess it's not true that there is no precedent for these collapses.
CT: In order for precedent to be of any use, you have to compare like to like, and these examples are so significantly different from WTC and 9/11 that how they behave tells us almost nothing of how WTC should behave.
LG: Then if we're going to be consistent, we can disregard the Dubai high-rise and all your other non-collapse examples also then as irrelevant 'precedents', since 9/11 was a unique event.
We require accurate precedents for the structure of and what happened to WTC in order to find anything 'strange' about their collapses, and this Dubai example is a pretty blatant example of cherry-picking of what's going to 'count' as a precedent and what is not. And when you're dealing with as chaotic an event as 9/11, it is very difficult to identify meaningful precedents for either position that have any relevance anyway.