Congratulations on the newspaper article. Generates interest and reignites theories I hope! Some of your profiling I agree with – some I don’t. I don’t think the “...could ONLY (my capitals) have been successfully perpetrated by...” is necessarily true. I think the following are on shaky ground...
Had some authority over the victims (that “authority” may simply have been a gun)
Was most likely known by the victims (maybe, maybe not)
Had access to a horse (not necessarily) – if they trackers had had an opportunity to inspect the ground prior to anyone else walking on it (some with, some without horses) – I’d give their comments some credence. The number of people who commented that you couldn’t see evidence/tracks of your own footsteps when you walked about – I’ve walked the site a few times and tested it – you really can’t see any evidence of where you’ve walked on that ground (let alone amongst any marks that a previous 100 or so people may have left before you even got there to analyse it). Apart from that, it seems the sulky was probably led by someone on foot, leading the horse “Tom” through the wooded area.
Had a motive (maybe nothing more than the desire to commit it)
The screams of “father” are possible at best – but there is doubt about whether that’s what was heard (“sounded” like father - and if so, was it a simply a cry for their own father’s protection. (Often people scream out a name of a person they love or feel would protect them when they’re in mortal, imminent danger)
Vindicate his actions to himself (if sociopathic – wouldn’t even think about it at all)
I think whoever it was aroused no suspicion among the town people before the event or after it happened. Different people mentioned different ideas – but there was no single person who was the subject of gossip and suspicion by the community in any meaningful way.
Urquart displayed a consistent arrogance believing completely that he had behaved in an appropriate manner and conducted the investigation correctly – he was very impressed with himself and was highly offended by any questioning of his activities – whether that questioning was by the press, the locals or even the judges at the inquiry. If Urquart truly knew who committed this crime and he could prove it, his ego would not keep him from speaking up – he wasn’t afraid of or intimidated by anyone.
Like other mysteries, I imagine what I'd see if I could magically spend 10 minutes at the time of the event, watching from afar
Here is something we have been working on if you are interested http://www.gattonmur...AllSuspects.doc