QUOTE (flyingswan @ May 4 2008, 03:34 AM)

Neither do you have any evidence that the NIST fire predictions are incorrect. They certainly fit with the visual evidence of how the fires spread and the temperature predictions are reasonable for office fires. You are making a strawman argument here that the fires are somehow implausible without samples of every piece of steel from the fire region...
I do not think NIST is wrong.
I was making a point of logic, invoking the false dilemma fallacy.
To make it more clear: the correctness or otherwise of the NIST theory is not evidence for the controlled demolition theory. Even if you prove that NIST is wrong, you do not therefore prove that CD is right. You have to prove CD on the evidence.
Nist this, Nist that, 9/11 commission, The News said Nist explained it...
Well then...
QUOTE
In its recent reply to family members Bill Doyle and Bob McIlvaine, scientists Steven Jones and Kevin Ryan, architect Richard Gage and the group Scholars for 9/11 Truth and Justice, NIST states: "We are unable to provide a full explanation of the total collapse."
Thus NIST euphemistically admits that its 10,000-page report on the Towers does not even pretend to provide any explanation whatsoever for the Towers' total collapse--and that indeed no such explanation is possible without invoking the politically-incorrect idea of controlled demolition.
NIST'S 10,000-page report purports to explain what it calls "collapse initiation" -- the loss of several floors' vertical support. In order to dream up this preposterous scenario, NIST had to ignore its own tests that showed that virtually none of the steel got hotter than 500 degrees f. It had to claim that somehow the planes took out many core columns, despite the fact that only a direct hit by an engine would have been likely to do so, and that the chances of this happening even once are fairly low. It had to preposterously allege that the plane that nicked the corner of the South Tower took out more core columns than the one that hit the North Tower almost dead center. It had to tweak all the parameters till they screamed bloody murder and say that the steel was far weaker than it actually was, the fire was far hotter than it actually was, the sagging was far greater than it actually was, and so on. And so NIST hallucinated a computer-generated fantasy scenario for "collapse initiation"--the failure of a few floors.
But how do you get from the failure of a few floors to total collapse at free-fall speed of the entire structure? The short answer: You don't. Anyone with the slightest grasp of the laws of physics understands that even if all of the vertical supports on a few floors somehow failed catastrophically at exactly the same moment--a virtually impossible event, but one necessary to explain why the Towers would come straight down rather than toppling sideways--the top part of the building could not fall THROUGH the still-intact, highly robust lower part of the building, straight through the path of most resistance, just as fast as it would have fallen through thin air.
Allow me to remind you we went to war with afghanistan(secretly for opium), and back then it was "get osama! get them terrorists!"
then Al-qaeda became(?) linked to Iraq(?) of which we put the dictator in power back in Desert Storm and the old Bush War BS(?), and likewise... NO weapons of mass destruction were found, only the weapon of mass distraction were used, on the US citizens...
Most Blatant Lie's Ever Told, as can be seen with this...
Bush: The regime has the scientists and facilities to build nuclear weapons, and is seeking the materials needed to do so.
Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction. - Dick Cheney, speech to VFW National Convention, Aug. 26, 2002
Right now, Iraq is expanding and improving facilities that were used for the production of biological weapons. - George W. Bush, speech to UN General Assembly, Sept. 12, 2002
No terrorist state poses a greater or more immediate threat to the security of our people and the stability of the world than the regime of Saddam Hussein in Iraq.- Donald Rumsfeld, testimony to Congress, Sept. 19, 2002
The world is also uniting to answer the unique and urgent threat posed by Iraq.- George W. Bush, Nov. 23, 2002
If he declares he has none, then we will know that Saddam Hussein is once again misleading the world. - Ari Fleischer, press briefing, Dec. 2, 2002
We know for a fact that there are weapons there. - Ari Fleischer, press briefing, Jan. 9, 2003
What we know from UN inspectors over the course of the last decade is that Saddam Hussein possesses thousands of chemical warheads, that he possesses hundreds of liters of very dangerous toxins that can kill millions of people. - White House spokesman Dan Bartlett, CNN interview, Jan. 26, 2003
And then...
We never believed that we'd just tumble over weapons of mass destruction in that country. - Donald Rumsfeld, Fox News interview, May 4, 2003
U.S. officials never expected that "we were going to open garages and find" weapons of mass destruction. - Condoleeza Rice, Reuters interview, May 12, 2003
I just don't know whether it was all destroyed years ago - I mean, there's no question that there were chemical weapons years ago - whether they were destroyed right before the war [or] whether they're still hidden. -
Maj. Gen. David Petraeus, Commander 101st Airborne, press briefing, May 13, 2003
I don't believe anyone that I know in the administration ever said that Iraq had nuclear weapons [SEE NEXT QUOTE].- Donald Rumsfeld, Senate appropriations subcommittee on defense hearing, May 14, 2003
We believe [Hussein] has, in fact, reconstituted nuclear weapons.- Dick Cheney, NBC's Meet the Press, March 16, 2003
They may have had time to destroy them, and I don't know the answer.- Donald Rumsfeld, remarks to the Council on Foreign Relations, May 27, 2003
It was a surprise to me then - it remains a surprise to me now - that we have not uncovered weapons, as you say, in some of the forward dispersal sites. Believe me, it's not for lack of trying. We've been to virtually every ammunition supply point between the Kuwaiti border and Baghdad, but they're simply not there. - Lt. Gen. James Conway, 1st Marine Expeditionary Force, press interview, May 30, 2003
I think some in the media have chosen to use the word 'imminent.’ Those were not words we used. We used 'grave and gathering' threat [SEE NEXT QUOTE].- White House spokesman Scott McClellan, press briefing, Jan. 31, 2004
This is about an imminent threat. - White House spokesman Scott McClellan, press briefing, Feb. 10, 2003
After being asked whether Hussein was an "imminent" threat: Well, of course he is . - White House spokesman Dan Bartlett, CNN interview, Jan. 26, 2003
After being asked whether the U.S. went to war because officials said Hussein’s alleged weapons were a direct, imminent threat to the U.S.: Absolutely.- White House spokesman Ari Fleischer, press briefing, May 7, 2003
QUOTE (flyingswan @ May 4 2008, 03:34 AM)

He didn't say the steel was itself melting, he said something was dripping from it, and that could have been aluminium. If you have any actual evidence of molten steel, I'd be interested to see it.
Youtube, molten steel from south towerI do say thats visual confirmation...
And from "Waste Age" '02 D-Day: NY Sanitation Workers' Challenge of a Lifetime and a quote "for about two and a half months after the attacks, in addition to its regular duties, NYDS played a major role in debris removal — everything from molten steel beams to human remains"
Greg Fuchek, vice president of sales for LinksPoint Inc. states:
In the first few weeks, sometimes when a worker would pull a steel beam from the wreckage, the end of the beam would be dripping molten steel
Messenger-Inquirer report recounts the experiences of Bronx firefighter "Toolie" O'Toole, who stated that some of the beams lifted from deep within the catacombs of Ground Zero by cranes were "dripping from the molten steel."
audio interview of Ground Zero chaplain Herb Trimpe states:
"When I was there, of course, the remnants of the towers were still standing. It looked like an enormous junkyard. A scrap metal yard, very similar to that. Except this was still burning. There was still fire. On the cold days, even in January, there was a noticeable difference between the temperature in the middle of the site than there was when you walked two blocks over on Broadway. You could actually feel the heat.
The fires burned, up to 2,000 degrees, underground for quite a while before they actually got down to those areas and they cooled off.
I talked to many contractors and they said they actually saw molten metal trapped, beams had just totally had been melted..."
QUOTE (flyingswan @ May 4 2008, 03:34 AM)

Given that you have failed to demonstrate that a thermite demolition is even possible, why should the investigators have considered such a convoluted theory?
Given that you ignore evidence why should anyone take you seriously?
QUOTE (flyingswan @ May 4 2008, 03:34 AM)

I've no idea what they did, there is not sufficient information in the summary. However, this is irrelevant to whether a progressive collapse will occur with damage at the WTC1 level in the building, because this is confirmed by B&Z and the Seffen paper. Given the similarity of the two collapses, the WTC2 case alone is sufficient to show that an engineering simulation of a "natural" collapse looks like what actually happened.
Progressive Collapse of the World Trade Centre: a Simple Analysis by K. A. Seffen from the Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge quotes:
" …it is clear that the initial loads imposed by both parts falling onto the undamaged buildings beneath were exceptionally high due to the unforeseen preceding events, and that damage was bound to propagate into the floors below: this is the initiation phase. It is also clear that both collapse modes were progressive, as indicated by film footage: there was the sound of each successive impact of floor upon floor and a matching sequence of lateral ejection of debris. Therefore, it is valid to consider the behaviour formally in the proposed terms.”
There were sounds of each successive impact, There were also sounds of explosions and other important factors (unusually melted steel, angularly cut beams, lack of temperature to melt steel, and so on). Seffen seems to not care about these factors because taking them into account would force him to choose a different model...
“Accordingly, the assumption of progressive collapse enables a continuum viewpoint, which permits a simpler formulation compared to, say, a finite element analysis...”
Cmon, seriously...
"A frivolous but useful analogue is the inflation of a rubber party balloon”
Yes, quite frivolous. But then, the model of progressive collapse is a frivolous analogue so, do the math, what do you think?
Then its all over from here on out:
“The precise variation does not matter”
Why exactly would that not matter?
“The collapse mode is highly idealised: none of the falling mass moves laterally; any impulsive action between successive floor impacts is neglected; and the final stage of collapse after the crush-front reaches the base is discounted. However, the incorporation of these features into a subsequent model would rely on estimations apportioning their relative contributions, which are not straightforward. Such refinements may negate the ability to obtain closed-form solutions, which are essential in ascribing the generic character of behaviour and for distilling key formulae ....”
Oh yes here we go... one cannot include all the elements involved with the collapse (such as "any impulsive action between successive floor impacts") of the WTC towers because if you did, you would not be able to obtain the solution that Seffen has devised by ignoring them. Something to Note:
“ the incorporation of these features into a subsequent model would rely on estimations apportioning their relative contributions, which are not straightforward”. Then we are told that obtaining "the solution" he has already decided he must obtain – is “essential”.
If he would incorporate some additional “features”, he would not be able to get to the conclusion that he has been instructed to get... Pure BS.
More info here, from a scientific journal peer reviewer and doctorate of Mathematics.
AND THEY STILL HAVE NOTHING ON WTC 7...