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disturbed_bassist
apparently we are overdue for a magnetic polar shift.

hmm.. that could be a pain if it ever happened in my lifetime, i doubt it i will though, in terms of the universe my lifetime is miniscule.
Universal Absurdity
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apparently we are overdue for a magnetic polar shift.



huh.gif um, how do you figure? when was it supposed to happen?

Kismit
according to popular scientific theory , the polls flip roughly every 500,000 years or there abouts and are at the moment somewhere around 150,000 years late .. Start HERE

Maybe I am a little lax about the subject , but I am not expecting some turmultuos earthquake shaking lava streaming death doom and gloom flip . Infact I wonder if most of our current climate changes are natural and that the melting of the polar caps is what causes the flip , unbalancing the earth . Making it a much more gradual almost unnoticable change . Why I wouldn't at all be surprised if true North is no longer in the same place it was 100 years ago .
Kismit
apparently this study puts the length of time it takes for the poles to flip at 7000 years ..


Science - AFP
Pole reversal: Feared "flip" of Earth's magnetic field takes 7,000 years
Wed Apr 7, 2:15 PM ET



PARIS (AFP) - A reversal of the Earth's magnetic field, a rare but feared event due to the catastrophic effect it could have on human life, takes about 7,000 years to complete, according to a study.
The so-called "flip" between the Earth's North and South poles occurs at long but unpredictable intervals, the most recent one occurring about 780,000 years ago.

The 180-degree switch occurs when there is a change in the circulation patterns in the molten iron which flows around the Earth's outer core and, like a dynamo, creates the magnetic field.

Link to full story
Gazz
So does this mean the polar bears will
have to move to the south pole? wink2.gif

whistling2.gif

Just kidding!

If the poles do shift in our lifetime
what do you think it will mean?

Climate change?

Will we even notice it?

Gazz grin2.gif
gollum
Please do'nt quote me on this, but, as far as I'm led to believe, magnetic north is actually in Canada somewhere. thumbsup.gif
poleshift
QUOTE (Gazz @ Apr 10 2004, 07:14 AM)
So does this mean the polar bears will
have to move to the south pole? ;)

If the poles do shift in our lifetime
what do you think it will mean?

Climate change?

I guess a lot of seasonal birds will lose their direction and will be confused where to immigrate.

If the field strength just reduces a bit during flip, we won't be hurt by Sun rays and cosmos rays. Otherwise we could only dig a hole and hide us underground. In the worst case, if field is very weak, atmosphere will escape gradually, Earth will be Mars-like year after year. But it never happened before, seems it won't happen in the future either.

Global warming could be caused by 3 factors.

Maybe the Sun sends us more energy in infrared and violet rather than visible light. Since it's dimming.

Second, who knows what's going on inside Earth? Is it hotter than before?

Third, human being's activity: killing trees and producing air pollution.

Well if everyone plants trees as more as possible, it will help us pass any climate change. A big tree before my window makes the room cool in summer, warm in winter. Do you have the same experience?
antares
QUOTE (poleshift @ Apr 10 2004, 09:53 PM)
If the field strength just reduces a bit during flip, we won't be hurt by Sun rays and cosmos rays. Otherwise we could only dig a hole and hide us underground. In the worst case, if field is very weak, atmosphere will escape gradually, Earth will be Mars-like year after year. But it never happened before, seems it won't happen in the future either.

Global warming could be caused by 3 factors.

Maybe the Sun sends us more energy in infrared and violet rather than visible light. Since it's dimming.

Second, who knows what's going on inside Earth? Is it hotter than before?

Third, human being's activity: killing trees and producing air pollution.


Poleshift,

If I am not mistaken what keeps the atmosphere from escaping is not the magnetic field but the gravity. This is the reason why Mars atmosphere is approximately 10 times thinner.

The changes in the Solar constant are negligible so for now we can assume that the Sun flux is constant. It is true that the Sun is dimming, but this process is so slow that we will not experience any difference in our lifetime.
You are right that human activities pollute the planet and may cause global warming. But planting trees is not an answer. The lifetime of greenhouse gasses is hundreds of years. If we stop producing pollution now (which is obviously impossible) we will see the result after a century.

But going back to the original topic about the pole shift. Here is my opinion. Everything depends on how fast the process will occur. The main danger I guess is the dissapearence of the magnetic field for a certain amount of time. All cosmic particles blocked by the field before, will be able to penetrate the atmosphere and eventualy cause threat to all species.
Druidus
The magnetic north pole is in the province I reside in, Nunavut. Once the poles switch compasses will all point southward, and anything that relies on the Earths field will be completely and utterly screwed. Climate change may occur.
fearfulone
QUOTE
Maybe I am a little lax about the subject , but I am not expecting some turmultuos earthquake shaking lava streaming death doom and gloom flip . Infact I wonder if most of our current climate changes are natural and that the melting of the polar caps is what causes the flip , unbalancing the earth . Making it a much more gradual almost unnoticable change . Why I wouldn't at all be surprised if true North is no longer in the same place it was 100 years ago .


wow...you know...that's a great logical point...possibly this is the normal current of events during a pole shift...i think you make a great point thumbup.gif two thumbs up!
poleshift
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If I am not mistaken what keeps the atmosphere from escaping is not the magnetic field but the gravity.

You are right. Maybe I should say atmosphere will be ionized and disappear instead of 'escape'. With a weak geomagnetic field, Earth doesn't have a shell. High energy Sun and cosmic particles will ionize the molecules in atmosphere and give ions high energy to escape Earth. Maybe this is why Mars atmosphere is much thinner than before.

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The changes in the Solar constant are negligible so for now we can assume that the Sun flux is constant.

Could you find the website for us? Which do you mean flux, light flux or flux in all frequency spectrum?

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But planting trees is not an answer.

2500 years ago, some area only had two seasons: spring and autumn. At that time, it had much lower popularity and much more froest and almost no pollution. Now in some area it has only two seasons: summer and winter, with high popularity, forests you can name a few, polluted air, water, earth. After testing, it is said forest is like a filter. You give it polluted water, it gives you clear water. Obvious, it transfers carbon dioxide to oxygen in daytime. They just found high density oxygen made Earth enclosed by ice. Here is the link. http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/forum...showtopic=13708
This is a method to modify the global warming.
poleshift
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If I am not mistaken what keeps the atmosphere from escaping is not the magnetic field but the gravity.

You are right. Maybe I should say atmosphere will be ionized and disappear instead of 'escape'. With a weak geomagnetic field, Earth doesn't have a shell. High energy Sun and cosmic particles will ionize the molecules in atmosphere and give ions high energy to escape Earth. Maybe this is why Mars atmosphere is much thinner than before.

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The changes in the Solar constant are negligible so for now we can assume that the Sun flux is constant.

Could you find the website for us? Which do you mean flux, light flux or flux in all frequency spectrum?

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But planting trees is not an answer.

Are you sure?
2500 years ago, some area only had two seasons: spring and autumn. At that time, it had much lower population and much more froest and almost no pollution. Now in some area it has only two seasons: summer and winter, with high population, forests you can name a few, polluted air, water, earth. After testing, it is said forest is like a filter. You give it polluted water, it gives you clear water. It transfers carbon dioxide to oxygen in daytime. They just found much less density of carbon dioxide made Earth enclosed by ice. Here is the link. http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/forum...showtopic=13708
This is a method to modify the global warming.
antares
QUOTE (poleshift @ Apr 13 2004, 03:54 PM)
Could you find the website for us? Which do you mean flux, light flux or flux in all frequency spectrum?

By definition the Solar constant is the amount of solar energy (covering the entire Solar spectrum) reaching the top of the atmosphere. The Solar constant is approximately 1366 W/m2. Sun flux means the energy rate. The Laboratory of Space Physics (LASP) in Boulder, Colorado started recently an experiment called SOURCE and one of the main goals is to detect any changes in the total Solar flux (solar constant).

Here is some info for you of the results from the mission:
link

So I still insist on what I said before. The Sun constant may vary, but not too much.

OK, so now let's go the planting trees issue. I had a hard time undertanding your point about the seasonal variability, but I agree that plants convert CO2 to O2 in the daytime. My point is that the plants can not compensate the CO2 emission coming from human activities. Tons of CO2 are emitted each day in the world from the cars and airplanes only. And I don't even mention anything about biomass burning, or industrial processes. Some of the CO2 reacts with other gasses and is deposited back to the ground, some is processed by the plants but part of it stays in the atmosphere. It acumulates because it has a long lifetime and warms the planet acting as a greenhouse gas. This is the reason why I think that planting trees is not the answer if we keep our CO2 emissions the same.
Pharoahe
I love going through these threads and seeing topics like these that I oh love so much. www.bobfrissell.com

Bob Frissell is a man who wrote a few books about the polar shifts and many other interesting things about life. I highly suggest everyone who is interested in things like the Great pyramid, pole shifts, goverment conspiracies, philadelphia project, etc. This man touches on everything you would want to hear. I honestly could not put these books down. I read the first one in one day. Absolutely sucks you right in and you just can't stop reading. From what I read in his books he gives the time of late December 2012...the day after Christmas or something. Nastradamous also predicted an interplanetary war for around this time so who knows...we could be in for a hell of a ride. But I will give you all some information on the pole shift. We are supposed to go from double stranded DNA to 12 stranded DNA. We are also supposed to go from the current 3rd dimension to the 4th dimension which has said to be a utopia almost like going to heaven. Maybe we will all see this change in our lifetime. Also I've read only the people that understand this change will be able to make it through. The overpopulation problem is supposed to be dealt with during this change.
antares
QUOTE (Pharoahe @ Apr 13 2004, 10:15 PM)
We are also supposed to go from the current 3rd dimension to the 4th dimension which has said to be a utopia almost like going to heaven. Maybe we will all see this change in our lifetime. Also I've read only the people that understand this change will be able to make it through.

By going to 4th dimension do you mean traveling in time in any direction?
Well, I read several times about the DNA change that will transform the humans and the new vibrations that will occur around 2011-2012. Everybody says that the humans become aware of the changes and they start to appreciate what's going on with our planet, etc. Unfortunatelly I live in a big polluted city with a lot of crime and somehow I do not see these new vibrations..
poleshift
QUOTE (antares @ Apr 14 2004, 12:35 AM)
By definition...

link

Thank you for the explanation and the link.

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I had a hard time undertanding your point about the seasonal variability

Perhaps it is caused by misspelling 'population'. Try it again.

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The Sun constant may vary, but not too much.

Is it smaller or bigger? Is it calculated annually? If so, it has a peak value every
11 years. Last year it reached the utmost. Please give more detail about the Sun
constant.

Solar radiation is the dominant among the three factors I mentioned. Comparing
the last two factors with solar radiation is like comparing night city light to daylight.
Even if the constant does not vary too much, maybe the fluctuation is not
negligible.

QUOTE
My point is that the plants can not compensate the CO2 emission coming
from human activities.

Because the number of forest is not enough. Hope you have a software to simulate
the effects of increasing the number of forest. For example, if in Sahara, there was
a duplicate of Amazon, what will happen? Or contrary, if Amazon is not there
anymore. That's for sure it will be worse. So why not produce more Amazon?
I still believe forest in large scale will help us pass any climate change.
antares
Look at the graph, it explaines everythinguser posted image
The Solar constant variability is less than 0.5 % Let me know if you need more clarification on that.
As for the trees original.gif I don't have software that simulates the effects of the increasing of the forests, but I work with mesoscale models that have variable land use /vegetation. So... I did some modeling recently dealing with desertification. Do you know that 40 % of the land on our planet is arid or semi-arid? Another interesting fact - 30 % of the crop lands in Asia are turning slowly to deserts. To me running a model with increased forests is very unrealistic. But like I said I agree with you that forests convert CO2 to O2. But the process is not that simple. There are so many feedbacks that we cannot ignore. For instance, more CO2 means warmer climate. Warmer climate means warmer oceans, warmer oceans lead to more phytoplankton and biomass and more CO2 emitted from the ocean back to the atmosphere. This is an example of a positive feedback... So to say that more forests will decrease CO2 is incorrect if we dont account for all components of the climate sytem.
poleshift
Thanks a lot for your graphic. I learnt a lot from you.

Is the black curve a result after smoothing? You are right. It's fractuated in 20
years. Suppose these data obtained via satellite. Could you please provide more
data as earlier year as possible, data after 2000 (especially last year) as well, i.e.
a graphic in long range?

The SORCE spacecraft launched into a 645 km orbit. Could you tell me what the
exact range the shell (produced by geomagnetic field) occupies ? I.e. why do you
choice this altitude?

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Do you know that 40 % of the land on our planet is arid or semi-arid?
Another interesting fact - 30 % of the crop lands in Asia are turning slowly to
deserts.

That means they've killed a lot of forests in several centuries and it caused dust
storms at least. That's maybe one reason for global warming. Wish your colleague
could simulate if there were forests in these area.

I agree with you there is many components affecting climate system.
Well, warmer climate also means forests grow faster thus convert more. Warmer
ocean also means sea plants grow more and convert more.
It's hard or almost impossible for you to prove your theory that more forests will
decrease CO2 is incorrect. Because we don't have more forests but less at
present. Hope you and your colleague will find a software to prove your theory
and show us here.

Let me tell another truth to prove my idea that forests will let climate more
convenient. (seems we are talking about different things?)
In Japan, recently, they've plant on the roof of buildings in cities. It makes rooms
inside buildings cool in summer and warm in winter. They save a lot of electricity
power on air conditionner.
antares
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Is the black curve a result after smoothing?

Yes, this is the mean smoothed line and the spikes are the raw data.

QUOTE
Suppose these data obtained via satellite.

Yes it was retrieved from four different remote sensors.

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The SORCE spacecraft launched into a 645 km orbit. Could you tell me what the exact range the shell (produced by geomagnetic field) occupies ? I.e. why do you choice this altitude?

In general there are two types of satellites - geostationary and polar orbiting. I will not go into details but the SOURCE is a polar orbiting satellite and this is the reason why it orbits between 600 and 800 km.

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Well, warmer climate also means forests grow faster thus convert more.

Yes, in general this is the case if the land allows it, ones turned into a desert it is hard to force trees to grow there.

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It's hard or almost impossible for you to prove your theory that more forests will decrease CO2 is incorrect.

Oh, don't get me wrong, I am not saying that trees don't clean the air, I say that even if we double the forests this will not help if we keep our CO2 emissions same. And my argument is that the lifetime of CO2 is very long.

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In Japan, recently, they've plant on the roof of buildings in cities. It makes rooms inside buildings cool in summer and warm in winter. They save a lot of electricity power on air conditionner.

I believe tha reason for that is that the leaves process very well the moisture in the air...

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Could you please provide more data as earlier year as possible, data after 2000 (especially last year) as well, i.e. a graphic in long range?

The SOURCE satelllite was launched on January, 2003. They have new data for the Solar constant for the entire 2003, but it is not visualized yet. They provide free access to the data fileson the website. If you are entusiastic you can download the data and plot it original.gif I'll keep loking and if I find something new I'll let you know original.gif
poleshift
Thanks antares for your warmhearted and professional answer.

It seems we have no chance to see a plot in 50, 40 or 30 years.

I'm worrying climate will be harsh: too cold in winter, too hot in summer, no
spring, no autumn. Because it was so last year. Looking into the history and
looking around, I find seemingly forest can keep temperature fluctuate in small
range, otherwise in large scale. (seems you did not get the same conclusion. Sad.)
That's why I hope forests restore on Earth every corner thus give us a convenient
climate--means we only have two seasons: spring and autumn in the near future,
like it was 2500 years ago.

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I say that even if we double the forests this will not help if we keep our
CO2 emissions same. And my argument is that the lifetime of CO2 is very long.

If we keep our CO2 emissions same, but increase more O2 emission. Though the
lifetime of CO2 is very long, since CO2 is heavier than O2, O2 will occupy the
space of CO2. The more O2 emitted, the more space of CO2 will be replaced by
O2. Keep on emitting more O2. After certain time, global warming will be modified.
Is it?

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I will not go into details but the SOURCE is a polar orbiting satellite and
this is the reason why it orbits between 600 and 800 km.

Please give more details.
Because geomagnetic field strength is decreased when pole shifting. Less cosmic
and solar particles will be blocked or captured than before. Is this one reason for
skin cancer? Will this affect the solar constant? Strictly speaking, does solar
constant include cosmic radiation? Recently cosmic radiation is increasing. Will it
increase global warming?

Suppose there is SOURCE2 at low orbit. The solar constant measured by these two
satellites will be much different?

Lots of climate factors. They are linked together. Too complicated.
Pharoahe
By changing dimensions we won't be travelling in time at all. It is all a conscious change. From what I've read we probably won't have any idea that it is happening. I've read something also that says something about everything in our solar system being alligned in a certain way that only happens every certain amount of years. Whatever may happen I really believe there will be a huge change in our lifetimes. If you really observe younger kids you may see a difference in how their mind works...kids age 7 and under are the new generation. There is something special about those young kids, they are the future I guess.
poleshift
A rumor from Russia says some kids having a soul from Mars. They come to earth
to help us. Cause we will have a disaster just before 2012. They lost atmosphere
on Mars so they have to live under ground. Sounds like we will meet the same
problem when poles shift, so they want to help us. Hope it is not true. Because
we are not ready and no where to hide us.
antares
QUOTE
Because geomagnetic field strength is decreased when pole shifting. Less cosmic
and solar particles will be blocked or captured than before. Is this one reason for
skin cancer?

Yes, Earth's magnetic field "blocks" high energy cosmic particles to penetrate the atmosphere... But the main reason for the skin cancer is the ozone depletion. The ozone layer in the stratosphere absorbs the UV light.

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Will this affect the solar constant?

No, the Solar constant is the total flux coming from the Sun per unit area on the top of the atmosphere. The Sun "does not care" if the Earth has a magnetic field or not.


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Strictly speaking, does solar constant include cosmic radiation?

No.

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Recently cosmic radiation is increasing. Will it increase global warming?

Is it? I did not know that...

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Suppose there is SOURCE2 at low orbit. The solar constant measured by these two
satellites will be much different?

Actually it will be the same...
poleshift
QUOTE (antares @ Apr 19 2004, 05:00 AM)
QUOTE
Recently cosmic radiation is increasing. Will it increase global warming?

Is it? I did not know that...

Hi antares, a late thank for your reply.

I read an article about it in last 2 years. Don't remember when and where.

Just a brief description. The recent increasing cosmic radiation is caused by solar
pole shift which happens every 11 years. During this flip, for some unknow reason,
the reversal halted. So the originally blocked cosmic rays enter the solar system.
I'm wondering if the flip this time finished or not yet.

Is there anybody in your field(biology or planetary?) or other field studying the
relationship between the global warming and geomagnetic field pole shift?
antares
OK, I got it. I was confused by the "cosmic radiation" term. Usually when dealing with the Sun people refer to that as "Solar radiation", and "Cosmic radiation" is the radiation coming from other sources in the Milky way. But anyway, people do try to relate the climate changes with the variations of the Solar constant, but without any positive results for now. Seems like the internal feedbacks are much stronger that the external change in the Solar radiation (which is negligible).
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