Glimpse in the future - World 2050AD - 9 billion people!!!

Some good news regarding our already WAYYY overpopulated planet!!
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U.N. Reduces Global Population Estimate

By EDITH M. LEDERER, Associated Press Writer

UNITED NATIONS - The United Nations on Wednesday reduced its estimate of what the world's population will be in 2050 by 400 million, primarily because of the impact of the AIDS epidemic and lower than expected birth rates (who said aids wasn't a man made disease to control population growth).

At the dawn of the new Millennium, the U.N. Population Division forecast that 9.3 billion people would inhabit the Earth at mid-century but a new revision of the estimate projects a lower population of 8.9 billion.

About half the 400 million drop is a result of an expected increase in the number of deaths, primarily from AIDS, the forecast said. The other half is due to a reduction in the projected number of births, mainly as a result of lower expected fertility rates.

"For the first time, the United Nations Population Division projects that future fertility levels in most developing countries will likely fall below 2.1 children per woman, the level needed to ensure the long-term replacement of the population, at some point in the 21st century," said the forecast.

By 2050, it projects that three out of four countries in less developed regions will have fertility levels below replacement levels.

The report, "World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision," confirms key conclusions from previous revisions about population growth.

Despite expectations of lower fertility levels and increased death risks, global population is still expected to increase from 6.3 billion today to 8.9 billion in 2050, it said.

The Population Division warned, however, that the latest projections depend on ensuring that couples have access to family planning.

If fertility in all countries remained at current levels, it said, "the total population of the globe could more than double by 2050, reaching 12.8 billion."

But based on the new estimates, the forecast predicts that the population of more developed regions, currently at 1.2 billion, will change little during the next 50 years.

Thirty three countries are projected to be smaller at mid-century than today — Japan losing 14 percent of its population, Italy 22 percent of its population, and Bulgaria, Estonia, Georgia, Latvia, Russia and Ukraine between 30 and 50 percent of their populations.

By contrast in less developed regions, the population is projected to rise steadily from 4.9 billion in 2000 to 7.7 billion in 2050, according to the forecast.

The populations of Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, Somalia, Uganda and Yemen, are projected to quadruple because of expected annual growth rates of more than 2.5 percent between 2000 and 2050, it said.

In the most populous countries, large population increases are expected even if fertility levels are projected to be low.

Between 2000 and 2050, the forecast said eight countries are expected to account for half the world's projected population increase — India, Pakistan, Nigeria, the United States, China, Bangladesh, Ethiopia and Congo.

The 2002 Revision indicates a worsening of the impact of the HIV /AIDS epidemic in terms of disease, deaths and population loss.

In the current decade, 46 million people are expected to die of AIDS in the 53 most affected countries, "and that figure is projected to ascend to 278 million by 2050," the forecast said.

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PS: Here are some cold hard facts. Planet Earth is already WAYYYY OVERPOPULATED since it can sustain only 200 million people max. We are in deep sh..t since the planets population will stabilize at around 2050 at around 10-12 BILLION (which is staggering 50 to 60 times OVER THE NATURAL LIMIT). We will make ourselves as humans (along with numerous other animal/plant species) through overpopulation, polution, natural resource exhaustion, etc. EXTINCT within half a millenium.

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To show the situation more clearly this a a projected future of our Planet as seen through projections of populations in selected countries (facts are taken from World Almanac 2003, on net -- www.infoplease.com) and world as a whole.

year------number(in billions)------(10y growth rate)
1950-----------2.55-------------------(+19%)
1960-----------3.03-------------------(+22%)
1970-----------3.71-------------------(+20%)
1980-----------4.45-------------------(+18%)
1990-----------5.28-------------------(+15%)
2000-----------6.08-------------------(+13%)
2010-----------6.85-------------------(+11%)
2020-----------7.58-------------------(+9%)
2030-----------8.25-------------------(+7%)
2040-----------8.85-------------------(+6%)

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0762181.html

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* 1 billion in 1804
* 2 billion in 1927 (123 years later)
* 3 billion in 1960 (33 years later)
* 4 billion in 1974 (14 years later)
* 5 billion in 1987 (13 years later)
* 6 billion in 1999 (12 years later)

http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0778698.html

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Location---------2000AD-------2050AD------(%change)
Earth--------------6.05b------9.32b-------(+54%)

Africa-------------793m-------2.000b------(+152%)
Asia---------------3.67b------5.43b-------(+48%)
Europe-------------727m-------603m--------(-17%)
Latin America------518m-------805m--------(+55%)
North America------314m-------438m--------(+39%)
Oceania------------31m--------47m---------(+52%)

http://esa.un.org/unpp/

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Location---------2000AD-------2050AD------(%change)

Selected countries

Western Asia (arab,turkic and persian asia)
*Afghanistan--------21.8m------72.3m-------(+232%)
*Azerbaijan---------8.0m-------8.9m--------(+11%)
*Iran --------------70.3m------121.4m------(+73%)
*Iraq---------------23.0m------54.0m-------(+135%)
*Israel-------------6.0m-------10.0m-------(+67%)
*Jordan-------------4.9m-------11.7m-------(+139%)
*Kazakhstan---------16.2m------15.3m-------(-6%)
*Oman---------------2.5m-------8.8m--------(+252%)
*Saudi Arabia-------20.4m------60.0m-------(+194%)
*Syria--------------16.2m------36.4m-------(+125%)
*Turkey-------------66.7m------98.8m-------(+48%)
*Uzbekistan---------24.9m------40.5m-------(+63%)
*Yemen--------------18.3m------102.4-------(+460%)

South Asia (Indians)
*Bangladesh---------137.4m-----265.4m------(+93%)
*India--------------1009m------1572m-------(+56%)
*Nepal--------------23.0m------52.4m-------(+128%)
*Pakistan-----------141.0m-----344.0m------(+144%)
*Sri Lanka----------18.9m------23.1m-------(+22%)

Eastern Asia (Orientals)
*China--------------1275m------1462m-------(+15%)
*D.P.R.(North)Korea-22.3m------28.0m-------(+26%)
*Japan--------------127.1m-----109.2m------(-14%)
*R. (South)Korea----46.7m------51.6m-------(+10%)

Southeast Asia
*Indonesia----------212.1m-----311.3m------(+47%)
*Philippines--------75.7m------128.4m------(+70%)
*Thailand-----------62.8m------82.5m-------(+20%)
*Viet Nam-----------78.1m------123.8m------(+59%)

Location---------2000AD-------2050AD------(%change)

North Africa (arabic speaking region)
*Algeria------------30.1m------51.2m-------(+70%)
*Egypt--------------67.9m------113.8m------(+68%)
*Libya--------------5.3m-------10.0m-------(+89%)
*Morocco------------30.0m------50.4m-------(+68%)
*Sudan(1/2Bantu=black)-31.1m---63.5m-------(+100%)
*Tunisia------------9.5m-------14.1m-------(+48%)

Subsaharan Africa
*Burkina Faso-------11.5m------46.3m-------(+330%)
*Congo--------------3.0m-------10.7m-------(+257%)
*Côte d'Ivoire------16.0m------32.2m-------(+101%)
*D.R.Congo----------51.0m------204m--------(+333%)
*Ethiopia-----------62.9m------186.5-------(+100%)
*Ghana--------------19.3m------40.0m-------(+107%)
*Guinea-------------8.2m-------20.7m-------(+66%)
*Kenya--------------30.7m------55.4m-------(+80%)
*Mali---------------11.4m------41.7m-------(+266%)
*Niger--------------10.8m------51.9m-------(+380%)
*Nigeria------------114.0m-----279.0m------(+145%)
*Senegal------------9.4m-------22.7m-------(+141%)
*South Africa-------43.3m------47.3m-------(+9%)
*Uganda-------------23.3m------101.5m------(+336%)
*Tanzania-----------35.1m------82.7m-------(+136%)
*Zambia-------------10.4m------29.3m-------(+182%)
*Zimbabwe-----------12.6m------23.5m-------(+87%)

Northern America ('Anglosaxon' america)
*Canada-------------30.8m------40.4m-------(+31%)
*United States------283m-------397m--------(+40%)

Caribbean (Mulattos,Blacks,Whites-1/2Cuba,etc)
*Dominican Rep.-----8.4m-------12.0m-------(+43%)
*Haiti--------------8.1m-------14.0m-------(+73%)
*Puerto Rico--------3.9m-------4.8m--------(+23%)

Location---------2000AD-------2050AD------(%change)

Central America (Mestico/Amer.ind.)
*El Salvador--------6.3m-------10.9m-------(+73%)
*Guatemala----------11.4m------26.6m-------(+133%)
*Mexico-------------99.0m------147.0m------(+48%)
*Nicaragua----------5.1m-------11.5m-------(+125%)

South America (south & east - mainly europeans)
*Argentina----------37.0m------54.5m-------(+47%)
*Brazil(1/2 mullato)--170.4m---247.2m------(+45%)
*Chile--------------15.2m------22.2m-------(+46%)
*Uruguay------------3.3m-------4.2m--------(+27%)

South America (west and north - mesticos/amerind.)
*Bolivia------------8.3m-------17.0m-------(+105%)
*Colombia-----------42.0m------70.1m-------(+67%)
*Ecuador------------12.6m------21.2m-------(+68%)
*Paraguay-----------5.5m-------12.6m-------(+129%)
*Peru---------------25.7m------42.1m-------(+64%)
*Venezuela----------24.2m------42.2m-------(+74%)

Oceania
*Australia----------19.1m------26.5m-------(+39%)
*New Zealand--------3.8m-------4.4m--------(+16%)
*Papua New Guinea---4.8m-------11.0m-------(+129%)

Location---------2000AD-------2050AD------(%change)

Eastern Europe ('Slavic' Europe)
*Belarus(W.Russia)--10.2m------8.3m--------(-19%)
*Poland-------------38.6m------33.4m-------(-14%)
*Russia-------------145.5m-----104.0m------(-29%)
*Ukraine------------49.6m------30.0m-------(-40%)

South Europe ('Grecoroman' Euroasia)
*Bulgaria-----------7.9m-------4.5m--------(-43%)
*Croatia------------4.7m-------4.2m--------(-11%)
*Cyprus-------------0.8m-------0.9m--------(+12%)
*France-------------59.2m------61.8m-------(+4%)
*Georgia------------5.3m-------3.2m--------(-40%)
*Greece-------------10.6m------9.0m--------(-15%)
*Italy--------------57.5m------43.0m-------(-25%)
*Portugal-----------10.0m------9.0m--------(-10%)
*Romania------------22.4m------18.1m-------(-19%)
*Spain--------------40.0m------31.3m-------(-22%)
*R.Macedonia--------2.0m-------1.9m--------(-5%)
*Yugoslavia---------10.6m------9.0m--------(-15%)

North Europe ('Germanic' Europe)
*Germany------------82.0m------70.8m-------(-14%)
*Netherlands--------15.9m------15.9m-------(0%)
*Norway-------------4.5m-------4.9m--------(+11%)
*Sweden-------------8.8m-------7.8m--------(-11%)
*United Kingdom-----59.4m------58.9m.------(-1%)

Does this mean I can't have children when I am older?

Odin

Odin,
Your government encourages you to have children, because like all of Europe, your population is in decline. In fact, workers have to be imported from other countries just to fill the available job market. Be thankful for that, because your taxes would be beyond comprehension if it weren’t for the foreign workers.

im having children- in fact, i want to have lots of children. i want to make sure there are more than enough jackasses to replace me when im gone

well said DSchwartz

Homer,

Well, the bigger companies are going to the countries that have lower salaries anyway..

But you're right about it that our growth is declining, but our country is one of the most crowded in Europe... Much more people won't relly fit in here without big problems with infrastruture and housing (infrastructure is already a problem...)

Odin

Odin,
I said ‘all Europe’, but I should have said Europe as a whole. The problem with the population across Europe and most of the world, is the demographics of the population. The population is aging without enough younger people to support them. This doesn’t have much relevance on infrastructure since the elderly require housing and some recreation as well.

Your country is overcrowded mostly with the elderly, and as these elderly die off, the demographics will continue to change to a more diversified culture as your nation continues to import more labor, and those immigrants raise families etc etc. So the overcrowding may not change much, but the culture will definitely change, and there is nothing anybody can do about that, unfortunately.

That is a worldwide problem, and the U.S. is one of the few countries not affected, as our birth rate far surpasses our death rate.