QUOTE(Pilgrim_Shadow @ Apr 2 2006, 08:00 PM) [snapback]1131184[/snapback]
Upon further reading, I must again raise the issue of the validity of the sources used in this article. Some are quite good and respected; however, much like the previous article, there is no single source sighted which is less than fifteen years old. Many deal with the issue of the warm blooded/cold blooded dinosaur debate, in which enormous strides have been made in the past decade and a half. Furthermore, modelling techniques for dinosaur gait, posture, size, and mass have likewise undergone considerable revision as technology improves.
While the author here clearly displays a willingness and, indeed, an eagerness to present a firm argument, the use of old sources remains a point of contention. While the older source material is by no means useless to a modern argument, the failure to address more current source material is a severe handicap as it ignores the numerous strides made in the field since the source books were written. This, combined with my earlier comments as to the failure to address the more fundamental problems with the hypothesis, lead me to conclude most firmly that the author's position cannot be validated.
-Pilgrim
vulcanism on a cataclysmic scale can change the earth's gravitational field as was proven during the Mount Loa eruption.. It is now suspected that the earth has been subjected to numerous cataclysmic seismic events thru its existance and these events may have taken place at regular intervals. But where is the ground zero for these events? was it the earth's molten core suddenly becoming unstable and venting out thru the mantle and crust thus creating massive tectonic shift and crustal displacement? or was it violent tectonic plate shift? We know that silicon is being drawn from the crust and mantle to the core and perhaps being used as fuel. Is this extraction of material occasionally excessive creating instability within the molten core?
Mount Loa gravit shift: Gravity Changes on Mauna Loa Volcano
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"Johnson, D.J., Gravity changes on Mauna Loa Volcano, in Mauna Loa Revealed: Structure, composition, History and Hazards, Geophysical Monograph 92, edited by J.M. Rhodes and John P. Lockwood, pp. 127-143, AGU, Washington, D.C., 1995.
Copyright 1995 American Geophysical Union. Further electronic distribution is not allowed.
Order the whole book directly from AGU. This 360-page volume contains 20 articles about Mauna Loa.
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Abstract. Gravity observations made on Mauna Loa Volcano Hawaii, before and after the March 25-April 14, 1984 eruption indicate that a magma reservoir, centered 3630200 m below the summit area, lost 136(50)x10^9 kg of magma mass during the event. Comparison of the reservoir mass loss figure (M) with the volume change by surface subsidence of the edifice (Ve) gives M/ Ve=2033 kg/m^3, consistent with the ratio predicted for magma withdrawal from a reservoir containing degassed, CO2-poor magma. The net reservoir mass loss is insufficient to entirely account for the mass of erupted lava and dike intrusion. A proposed explanation is that a pulse of magma flow from depth, concurrent with the eruption, may have replaced reservoir magma lost to eruption. With this model, magma resupply to the shallow Mauna Loa reservoir is episodic and is associated with eruption; during repose, extensive CO2 degassing and a low rate of magma resupply minimizes the CO2 content of stored reservoir magma.
INTRODUCTION
Accelerating rates of seismicity and ground surface displacement observed at Mauna Loa Volcano led to a published statement in September 1983 of an increased probability of eruption within the following 2 years [Decker et al., 1983]. Baseline gravity observations on Mauna Loa were made February 13-14, 1984 in anticipation of the eruption. Fortuitously an eruption began on March 25 at 01:25 HST [Lockwood et al., 1985] within just 6 weeks of the initial gravity observations. Additional measurements were begun 8 hours after the first sighting of lava, and continued at intervals of 1-6 days for the duration of the 3 week eruption. Analysis of these data give a unique perspective on how Mauna Loa works.
A classic view of the eruptive behavior of Hawaiian volcanoes is that they contain a shallow magma reservoir, located below the summit, that gradually fills with mantle-derived magma during repose. Then, on eruption, previously stored magma is rapidly expelled from the reservoir to the surface or into rift zone intrusions [Dzurisin, et al., 1984; Decker et al., 1983]. This view is reinforced by observation of surface uplift during periods of repose and subsidence of the edifice during eruption, indicating filling and draining of a subsurface magma storage zone.
An unresolved issue of the 1984 eruption is a disparity between the volume of edifice contraction and the volume of erupted lava [Dvorak et al, 1985]. Previous estimates of the volume of edifice collapse are 110x10^6 m^3 [Okamura et al., 1984], 100(30)x10^6 m^3 [Lockwood et al., 1985], and 55(15)x10^6 m^3 [Dvorak et al., 1985]. Approximately 220x10^6 m^3 of lava, which has an estimated density of 2000 kg/m^3, reached the surface during the eruption [Lipman and Banks, 1987]. This is equivalent to 170x10^6 m^3 of magma with density 2600 kg/m^3 - still more than the volume of collapse. Consider also that a significant volume of magma was delivered to the inferred 22 km-long intrusive dike that bisected the summit and rift zones. Perhaps 75x10^6 m^3 of magma (dike roughly estimated 0.75 m wide, 5000 m high, and 20 km long) ended up stored within the rift zone dike. The total of dike and lava flow volumes gives 245x10^6 m^3, far in excess of the subsidence volumes given above.
Okamura et al. [1984], states that the volume discrepancy between subsidence and erupted lava might be due to: (1) eruption of magma stored within the rift zone since the previous eruption in 1975, (2) subsidence restricted by crustal rigidity, and (3) vesiculation of stored reservoir magma. The first process may be minor, as geochemical analyses of 1984 lava samples presented by Rhodes [1988] do not indicate a significant proportion of rift zone-derived lavas. The remaining two processes are shown by Johnson [1992] to be important at neighboring Kilauea Volcano during a recent phase of frequent, low-volume eruptions. The idea is that the shear strength of the edifice limits the amount of downward sagging of the crust overlying the draining magma reservoir, while the space left by the expelled magma is claimed by decompressional expansion of magma and CO2, as well as CO2 exsolution.
Dvorak et al. [1985] proposed that additional magma reservoirs may also have contributed to the eruption, explaining limited subsidence with respect to the volume of lava observed at the surface. Such reservoirs may have been beyond the perimeter of the geodetic network, or possibly located deep enough that surface displacement was not detectable.
Johnson [1992] presented theoretical arguments and a suite of gravity and geodetic observations from Kilauea Volcano that show that it is not strictly necessary for the collapse volume to equal the volume of magma removed. This is because the volume change observed at the surface is the sum of the volume change due to removal of mass (i.e. magma), bulk compression of the magma resident in the reservoir, volatile (mainly CO2) compression, exsolution, and migration, and lastly volume change due to density redistribution of the crust. For example, while magma is being removed from the reservoir during eruption, decreasing internal pressure causes exsolution of CO2 plus volumetric decompression of exsolved gas and magma. All of these factors mitigate reservoir contraction [Johnson, 1992, equation 8]. Concurrently, the volume change of the edifice is 1.5 times the change in size of the reservoir cavity as a consequence of the crustal density change associated with deformation [Johnson, 1992, equation 9, with a Poisson's ratio of 0.25 typical of crustal material]. While the processes internal and external to the reservoir have opposite influence on the ratio of edifice volume change to internal reservoir mass change, Johnson [1992] shows that at Kilauea the internal processes may at times dominate. Comparison with observations from Kilauea are useful in the analysis of Mauna Loa.
The purpose of this paper is to use the gravity data collected before and after the 1984 eruption to examine the observed volume disparity between edifice contraction and lava flow at Mauna Loa. The utility of the gravity method with respect to monitoring a subsurface magma reservoir is that it is sensitive to mass change, whereas geodetic methods (such as leveling, tilt, trilateration, GPS) detect surface displacement only. An apparent volume change detected by geodetic methods may reflect expansion/contraction of existing crust and reservoir material as well as addition/ subtraction of magma from the system. Analysis of gravity data may thus help sort out these kinds of volume ambiguities. The first goal is to determine the actual mass of magma removed from the known summit magma reservoir and determine if this amount is sufficient to explain the mass of the eruptive products. Secondly, the relationship between mass removed and the resulting summit collapse will be analyzed to learn more about the shear strength of the edifice and the compressibility of the magma reservoir itself.
THE 1984 ERUPTION
Mauna Loa, like neighboring Kilauea Volcano, contains a central subcaldera magma reservoir which is recharged by magma during repose [Decker et al., 1983; Rhodes, 1988]. With time, this filling produces a measurable distention of the edifice. Analysis of surface displacement patterns prior to the 1984 eruption by Decker et al. [1983] placed the region of filling roughly 3 km below the southeast rim of the summit caldera Mokuaweoweo.
The events of the March 1984 eruption have been described by Lockwood et al. [1985]. The first phase of eruption saw the propagation of an eruptive fissure to the floor of Mokuaweoweo at 01:25 HST on March 25. Over the next several hours the eruptive fissures migrated out of the caldera, into both the southwest and the northeast rift zones. By 07:00 HST fountaining was restricted to a portion of the upper northeast rift zone at an elevation of 3700 m. The eruption migrated down the northeast rift zone through the first day in a series of jumps; as new fountains appeared downrift, activity farther uprift waned. At 16:41 HST venting began near 2900 m elevation and continued in that vicinity for the remainder of the 3-week eruption.
Observations
As the eruption progressed, subsidence of the ground surface above the reservoir was monitored by frequent geodetic surveys [Lockwood et al., 1985; Dvorak and Okamura, 1987]. Subsidence is attributed to magma removal from the reservoir; some of this magma was intruded as dikes into both of Mauna Loa's rift zones while a large volume was erupted to the surface [Lockwood et al., 1985]. Locations of geodetic and gravity observation sites on Mauna Loa are shown in Figure 1, and measured tilt and leveling changes are illustrated in Figure 2. The area of maximum subsidence, as indicated by the orientation of ground tilting and the vertical movement of leveling benchmarks, was located southeast of Mokuaweoweo Caldera (Figure 2), at a location similar to the area of previous uplift [Decker et al., 1983].
Leveling surveys to third-order standards were done on June 27, 1983 and May 7-8, 1984 [Okamura et al., 1984; Dvorak, et al., 1985] on a route that traverses the summit area of Mauna Loa. A maximum subsidence of 574 mm relative to site ML7 was measured along the southeast rim of Mokuaweoweo caldera. Most likely neither end of the leveling traverse was distant enough from the apex of subsidence to escape subsidence. An estimate of the amount of subsidence of the reference benchmark, or "float" of the level line, will thus be made in the following section.
Occupation of the entire inventory of spirit-level tilt sites located around the rim of Mokuaweoweo caldera and the upper slopes of Mauna Loa was done between July 12-August 24, 1983 and April 23-27, 1984. These data are considered to have a precision of 12 urad [Dvorak and Okamura, 1987]. The changes (Figure 2) define an inward tilt, towards a common focus at the southeast rim of Mokuaweoweo.
A complete survey of gravity sites C1, ML1, ML3, and ML8 was done on February 13-14 and May 2, 1984. Gravity readings are corrected for tidal effects [Longman, 1959]. Calibration functions with linear and periodicterms were determined from calibration ranges and applied to the data. Gravity data were reduced using JOSH v. 3 [unpublished, 1994] which inputs data from an unlimited number of individual runs and calculates a least squares solution of second-order polynomials to approximate time-dependent changes in the reading level of the gravimeters (gravimeter drift), offsets of the reading level (tares) as needed, and relative gravity g at each surveyed station. A run comprises a sequence of gravity readings made using a particular gravimeter. Separate runs, which may be made during the same day or on multiple days, are combined to make a survey. In this study, gravity surveys were done using two gravimeters run over closed loops between the base station SAS and monitoring sites using helicopter transport. The February survey comprised two loops over both days and reduced values have standard errors of from 8 to 12 Gal. The May survey comprised three loops on the same day and values have std. errors of about 7 Gal. Observed gravity changes between the complete surveys, bracketing the 1984 eruption, are given in Table 1 along with corresponding elevation changes.
During the course of the 1984 eruption gravity measurements were occasionally made at station ML1 to record the chronology of gravity change. These surveys were accomplished by closing two loops between SAS and ML1 with two gravimeters. The exception was the March 26 survey, when only one loop could be completed because helicopter support was unavailable. A time plot of ML1 gravity is given in Figure 3. First impressions of the ML1 data are that the pattern of change closely follows the exponentially diminishing rates of tilt change and horizontal strain [Lockwood, et al., 1985]. Also, the positive sign of the change is consistent with a strong contribution of an increase due to the decreased height of the observation point (the free-air change), which is both greater and of opposite sign to the component due to the subsurface magma mass loss.
As a part of the gravimeter calibration procedure, a gravity tie was made between base station SAS and GC7, located 16 km north of SAS on the lower slope of neighboring Mauna Kea Volcano. Measured gravity change at SAS between pre- and post-eruption surveys on February 21 and May 15, 1984 is .611.2 Gal relative to GC7. The absence of a significant gravity change at SAS diminishes the probability that this station moved up or down.
REVIEW OF MODEL EQUATIONS
Model for Deformation from Reservoir Volume Change
The principles of deformation and gravity analysis presented here are a foundation for the analysis that follows. These generalized equations enable inferences to be made about the nature of mass and volume changes at depth associated with the gravity and surface displacement anomalies. However, because of the dramatic topography of Mauna Loa which is not anticipated in the derivation of the principles, they should be used with some caution.
Deformation resulting from the inflation and deflation of the summit reservoir of Mauna Loa is simulated using a model first applied to volcanology by Mogi [1958]. This model gives deformation of an elastic body having one free surface as a function of pressure change within a spherical cavity inside the body. Surface uplift is given as
(1)
where Z is the source depth, X is the radial distance of the point from the source epicenter, P is the pressure change, Vr is the volume of the source and and u are the Poisson's ratio and shear modulus of the body [modified from Hagiwara, 1977]. The change in radius, a, of the source of radius a is given by Hagiwara [1977] as:
(2)
As long as a is large relative to a, the volume change Vr of the spherical source may be estimated as the surface area of the sphere (4a2) times the change in radius (equation 2), or
(3)
[Johnson, 1987, with volume relation 3Vr/4=a3 substituted]. Integration of equation (1) over the surface of the body gives
(4)
which is the volume change of the body due to displacement, h, of the free surface. Division of equation (4) by (3) gives
(5)
which is the volume change of the body as a function of volume change of the imbedded spherical source. Notice that for a Poisson's ratio of 0.25, typical of crustal rock, equation (5) predicts dilation, or expansion, of the crust equal to 50% of the volume change of the source. The volume of surface uplift would equal the volume change of the source only if the Poisson's ratio were 0.5; media with such a Poisson's ratio include rubber and fluids.
To the gravity modeler, the significance of crustal dilation predicted by equation (5) is the implied density change, which has a direct effect on the measured gravity field. The variation in density at a point located within the body at depth D below the surface is
(6)
where Z is the depth of burial of the spherical source, and X is the horizontal distance between source and observation point [modified from Hagiwara, 1977]. Notice, again, that equation (6) predicts a changing density distribution within the body, except in the special case that =0.5.
To the volcanologist seeking to estimate the magma budget of a volcano by monitoring surface uplift, the significance of equations (5) and (6) is that a portion of the volume of expansion or contraction of a volcanic edifice is the consequence of crustal density change, not magma accumulation. Analyses that have assumed that one unit volume of uplift is equivalent to one unit volume of reservoir magma accumulation (of which there are many) are thus in error.
Model for Gravity Change from Reservoir Volume Change
The problem of modeling gravity change associated with an altered density distribution of the crust has been treated by Hagiwara [1977], Rundle [1978], Walsh and Rice [1979], and Savage [1984] for the case of a spherical source. The consensus is that deformation of the crust caused solely by the volume change of a spherical source does not produce a net gravity change. Previous gravity studies of Kilauea Volcano [Jachens and Eaton, 1980; Dzurisin et al., 1980; Johnson, 1987; Johnson, 1992] have made the explicit assumption that crustal deformation yields no gravity change. (Some gravity change, however, is expected due to related vertical movement of the observation site with respect to the mass of the Earth plus any change in the mass of magma contained within the source.)
It is useful to review some details of the Hagiwara [1977] study of deformation-induced gravity change for a spherical source model. Hagiwara [1977] separated the deformation into three components and solved the gravity change for each separately: (1) the volume change of the spherical source cavity, (2) the surface uplift, and (3) the crustal density change. I have modified the original equations to reduce the number of elastic constants to only the Poisson's ratio and to use a source volume change term Ve rather than a pressure change.
The component of gravity change due to the volume change Vr of the source is
(7)
where c is the crustal density. The value of is 6.67x10-11 Nm2kg-2. Included is an allowance for mass, such as magma, of density 0 which replaces displaced crustal material. If no matter moves into or out of the source to balance Vr, then 0=0. The magnitude of (7) is essentially the gravitational attraction of a spherical shell that represents the mass gained or lost by a change in diameter of the source. For example, expansion of an empty reservoir would result in a spherical shell where empty space of density 0=0 has displaced crustal rock of density c. This would give a negative gravity change component.
The component of gravity change due to surface uplift is
(8)
To illustrate this component, consider a gravimeter fixed in space above the Earth's surface. An increase in Vr results in surface uplift - uplift moves mass upward and displace air with a thin layer of crustal material. This layer has an area equal to the uplift anomaly, and a variable thickness depending on the local uplift. The gravimeter located above the uplifted area would record a gravity increase due to this component of deformation.
Finally, an outcome of deformation is variation in the density of the crust within the deformed region. The gravity change component due to density variation is
(9)
Notice that only in the unrealistic case of a Poisson's ratio of 0.5 does the density change term vanish. Otherwise, for a typical Poisson's ratio of 0.25, the effect of this term for inflation, as an example, is a gravity decrease corresponding to the net density decrease of the deformed crust.
Considering only the deformation-induced components of the gravity change (by setting 0=0 to reflect no inflow or outflow of matter from the source sphere), the uplift component (1) is exactly offset by the sum of the source volume change and crustal density change components (02). In other words, the net gravity change due to deformation caused by a point source is nil as stated by Hagiwara [1977], Rundle [1978], Walsh and Rice [1979], and Savage [1984].
The residual gravity change, g' using the notation of Johnson [1992], is defined as the sum of the above components, including the mass of material flowing into or out of the source, but not including the free-air change. Summing (7), (8), and (9) above gives............"
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