QUOTE(contactismade @ Dec 1 2006, 08:23 AM) [snapback]1446127[/snapback]
Stanton is a nuclear phycisist, he has an IQ way up there, he's legit and not a zealot. Above anyone else in the area of studying the phenominon he has the best rep. More than eyewitness testimony or radar returns, its someone like this even taking the matter seriously that says something.
Stanton Friedman is indeed a very clever and thorough guy, and I agree that he probably has the best reputation out there. He is also a very passionate person, which makes him very interesting to listen to. Unfortunately, in my opinion his passion also makes his mouth run a little faster that his mind at times. I was watching another UFO program on the History channel yesterday and Mr. Friedman unfortunately made a blunder that I normally ascribe to devoted believers. While I wasn't prepared to take notes, I do believe I have captured the essence of what he said if not the exact wording:
QUOTE
Out of 12,000 observed UFOs, only 700 can be labeled as unexplained. Only?! That is like saying that we are looking for a cure for cancer and out of 12,000 cures, only 700 works. We only need one!
While this analogy sounds good and convincing on the surface, it is also completely wrong when putting the critical thinking hat on. He is comparing something that is unexplained with something that is scientifically proven (at least in his thought experiment). What he should have said was:
"Out of 12,000 observed UFOs, only 700 can be labeled as unexplained.
Only?! That is like saying that we are looking for a cure for cancer and out of 12,000 cures, only 700 we don't know whether works or not. We only
need one, but we need to thoroughly investigate the 700 before we find the one; that is, if we ever will."
This can obviously be worded in many ways, but the above is a lot closer to being the correct analogy. While I don't think Mr. Friedman is deliberately deceptive, it does show that one needs to take everything with a grain of salt - and that obviously goes for arguments and statements from both sides.
Secondly, I also think Mr. Friedman is lacking good scientific partners for sparring. There simply aren't and haven't been many credible scientists latching onto this subject, simply because the data hasn't been there to support the conclusions put forth.
Just my two cents.
Best,
Badeskov