QUOTE(Paranoid Android @ Dec 10 2006, 06:45 PM) [snapback]1457367[/snapback]
There are isolated ancient tribes in remote areas of Indonesia (as one example only) that still live on a hunter/gatherer mentality and never have contact with the outside world. Why have they not evolved?
I would rephrase the question slighty, asking why isolated human populations never diverged enough to become a different species of humans. It's an excellent question.
First of all, what I proposed is that isolation would be
necessary (for all practical purposes) for speciation to occur. What I didn't propose was that isolation would be
sufficient to produce a new species of humans. It isn't, as is obvious from the example you describe. In addition to isolation, something in the environment has to result in different rates of reproductive success (RS) for individuals possessing different heritable traits. In other words,
selection has to occur, and it has to occur in a way that is particular to that enviornment.
The fact that such divergence has not occurred in homo sapiens is extremely important to the current topic. There are human populations that had been, until recently, isolated for several thousand generations in very special environments as diverse as jungles, deserts, mountains, swamps, grassland, tundra, and ice pack. And yet
no trend toward speciation can be discovered. A New Guinea native is every bit the same species as a Laplander or a Zulu.
That's fantastic. It shows that, unlike virtually any other animal, human beings
literally adapt to new environments, and they do so mainly by changing their behavior, which they can do because they're clever. A furless human being does not get "selected out" of an Arctic environment, leaving only furry individuals in the population. Instead, a furless human being skins an animal and wears its fur. So there is absolutely no reason, no way, for a furry Arctic human to evolve. Quite the contrary: Growing one's own fur would be "costly" while conferring no measurable benefit in terms of RS. It would actually
reduce fitness.
The scenario posed by the OP and others, a la X-Men, is therefore supremely unlikely. If Darwinian processes did not produce a new species of humans even when some populations were isolated for thousands of generations in very special environments, it is virtually impossible that we will wake up tomorrow and discover that "homo superior" is at large and taking over through the same Darwinian processes that we suppose produced homo sapiens. Hasn't happened, isn't happening, isn't going to happen under present circumstances.
So in Darwinian terms, there is no "next step in human evolution" waiting to happen. That kind of evolution will not produce a Marvel Girl, a Cyclops, or a Wolverine.
But!
Human technology could result in various kinds of "evolution" of a different nature. Gene science could even result in new species of humans that can't interbreed with homo sapiens.