QUOTE(lost_shaman @ Apr 5 2007, 09:00 AM) [snapback]1614188[/snapback]
Agreed.
I agree with that as well.
For one thing Friedman's idea of a "cosmic Watergate" confuses political history of UAP with the Science of UAP IMO.
Where I would love, as an interested party and armature Historian, to know what the Governments have known about UAP through recent history , I tend to think of that as a separate issue from the current and evolving Science that is dealing with the subject of UAP. Friedman, however even though he has a Scientific background, tends to focus on Government documents and historical events to put forth the idea of a "cosmic Watergate" that says the ETH is well established as fact and is covered up by the U.S. Government.
I agree, from my observation, I suspect the truth is something closer to:
1. Governments don't really know much more about them than we do.
2. The government doesn't want to admit that there's things flying around in our airspace that we have no control of, so they downplay it with words like "of no defence significance"
3. At the same time, other parts of the government realize that UAP phenomenon makes a good cover for classified research (eg CIA), so they'll sometimes quietly fan the flames of UAP, while other parts of the govt are trying to downplay it. (eg Air force)
4. Crashes/retrievals/reverse eng- Although it's possible crashes and recoveries have happened, I have a problem with the idea for several reasons
A) reported crashes seem rather numerous for such advanced tech.

Roswell wreckage was sitting on the ranch for days, why wouldn't the aliens have grabbed it first?
C) Why would the aliens let the govt have the wreckage? If they have the capabilities that some cases suggest they do, they should be able to infiltrate the storage sites and retrieve the debris whenever they want to.
D) The 'secret govt/alien deal' theories make no sense. What do they supposedly get from us, the right to abduct people? Would they really need permission?
E) reverse engineering an alien craft that may be thousands of years ahead of us doesn't seem likely, it would be like Alexander Graham Bell trying to reverse engineer a cell phone, having never seen ICs, DACs, OSs, VMs and all the other layers of tech that have gone into them.
F) some of the more exotic UAP theories (multidimensional, psychic, spiritual, cosmic trickster, etc) would seem to make crashes unlikely, unless the crash itself is some kind of trick or illusion.
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While that may or may not be true, UAP exist and I see this as a separate issue from political historic issues that surround it.
I don't agree with Seth Shostak either, as he clearly calls for "witnesses" to UAP events to bring forth and present to the Scientific Community "Seat cushions" from Alien craft as "Exhibit A". Where, having seen a UAP myself, I can clearly state that this request is absolutely unreasonable.
And how would we really know it's an alien seat cushion? I'm sure the scientific community would assume it was a fake. I mean right now we can come up with every conceivable type of evidence short of capturing a live one, but none of it is good enough. Other things have been accepted by science with much less. Ball Lightning for instance. We still don't know exactly what it is, or how to create it in the lab, and it's existance was debated for many years, but science accepts it as real.
Or they might say that the "seat cushion's signatures are terrestrial". Even though ETH is only one of many theories. It could be from here but still be extraordinary.
I think science really has a problem with the idea of non-human intelligence, they always look for a naturalistic or reductionist explanation, and if they find such an explanation that can account for only 70% of the facts, they'll go with because it's the best they got. True, the scientific method requires that such an intelligence be proven, but first step is hypothesis. Would science today ever accept a hypothesis as worthy of pursuit that had something to do with a non-human intelligence? I seriously doubt it.
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Where that type of request is no different than us asking Seth Shostak to provide us with physical CD's produced by "Aliens" to prove that "Aliens" are transmitting radio signals. Either "Aliens" are transmitting radio signals or they are not and having physical CD's produced by "Aliens" would be nice, but we don't need that to determine if they are broadcasting Radio signals or not. Just in the same way that the ETH might be correct even if we never have a UAP witness bring Seth Shostak a "Seat cushion" from an "Alien" craft.
Right, or even ridiculing eyewitnesses. When modern astronomy started, all they had was eyewitness type-data, they couldn't haul planets/stars in for observation, they coundn't send probes yet, not even radio telescopes. So I think that line of attack is disingenuous. Sure one person can be wrong, but is it likely that many people who see the same thing all be wrong?
Or the 'salt on the ground' attack. 10' diameter and 14 inches deep? That's an awful lot of salt.