Golden Duck Posted December 4, 2016 #51 Share Posted December 4, 2016 On Saturday, December 03, 2016 at 8:14 AM, Willstone said: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observable_universe note diameter https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_potentially_habitable_exoplanets This is only earth-like life, not including other possibilities You assume that, out of the entire universe, that only one planet was lucky enough to be able to support life? That is an estimated 1 out of 1.e+22 or 1/100000000000000000000 also, on earth, there are 8.7 million species on earth so statistically speaking, it is pretty likely. You can't speak statistically without data. All you've presented is some arbitrary probability. At least you mention Bernoulli's Law of Large Numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Willstone Posted December 5, 2016 #52 Share Posted December 5, 2016 22 hours ago, Mangoze said: You can't speak statistically without data. All you've presented is some arbitrary probability. At least you mention Bernoulli's Law of Large Numbers. I realize that I did not put that source down, however, while trying to find it, I did come across this article which estimates 50 sextillion habitable planets exist in the universe, or 5 times the amount that I came to earlier. http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/152573-astronomers-estimate-100-billion-habitable-earth-like-planets-in-the-milky-way-50-sextillion-in-the-universe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golden Duck Posted December 5, 2016 #53 Share Posted December 5, 2016 2 hours ago, Willstone said: I realize that I did not put that source down, however, while trying to find it, I did come across this article which estimates 50 sextillion habitable planets exist in the universe, or 5 times the amount that I came to earlier. http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/152573-astronomers-estimate-100-billion-habitable-earth-like-planets-in-the-milky-way-50-sextillion-in-the-universe Estimations aren't data either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Willstone Posted December 7, 2016 #54 Share Posted December 7, 2016 On 12/5/2016 at 6:11 PM, Mangoze said: Estimations aren't data either. But they are, however, the best information that we will get. Until either one of us has the ability to observe the entirety of the universe, no one can get correct "data", this is why estimations and educated guesses exist, to give a figure in which we can base our information on without having to go through the work of counting every last value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XenoFish Posted December 7, 2016 #55 Share Posted December 7, 2016 The only way to tell if you're an abductee is how your butt feels the next day. Aliens seem to be all probes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DONTEATUS Posted December 7, 2016 #56 Share Posted December 7, 2016 Yes Indeed, People Go Round In Circles, THis is a Clue ! Then Jump High into the Sky ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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