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Thylacine survival odds are 1 in 1.6 trillion

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I'm hoping for that 1! :yes:

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you never know that one percent might come true.

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23 minutes ago, Summerin1905 said:

you never know that one percent might come true.

I can't even begin to do the calculations to express 1 in 16,000,000,000 as a percentage, but it's not one. 

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I haven't read this study, but I've seen (and failed to understand the maths involved) the pre-print. I have no idea how they came to that figure. 

Although, I do agree roughly on the date, but I got there by reading the historical accounts. I assumed the last or penultimate generation would have been the youngsters detected in 1937/38. So likely they pegged it in around 1950 latest. Sorry to blind you all with such hard core science. 

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tenor.gif

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3 hours ago, oldrover said:

I can't even begin to do the calculations to express 1 in 16,000,000,000 as a percentage, but it's not one. 

You're missing the last three noughts but I agree. It wouldn't be one. :)

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7 minutes ago, Stiff said:

You're missing the last three noughts but I agree. It wouldn't be one. :)

Yeah, I ran out. That's a lot of noughts. 

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Imagine if a bet was placed on those odds

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2 hours ago, Mr.United_Nations said:

Imagine if a bet was placed on those odds

Ýeah, it'd be a very tiny win for the bookies. 

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NOOOOOOOOOO!  Say it isn't so. . .we can rebuild them. . .make them faster, stronger, better. . .It's time to clone them. . .I want my army of mutant Tasmanian Tiger beasts.  

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What awesome animals. I hope they're wrong.

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I'm losing hope on these.    A few years ago I thought there might be a fighters chance that some of these are still surviving.

Now I don't think so.   With everyone having cameras on them, trail cams and less inhabited space, each passing year is like 20 years was before.  

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They will not be found where they are not...

I hope that advise helps to reduce the odds... :whistle:

 

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1 hour ago, Myles said:

I'm losing hope on these.    A few years ago I thought there might be a fighters chance that some of these are still surviving.

Now I don't think so.   With everyone having cameras on them, trail cams and less inhabited space, each passing year is like 20 years was before.  

Me too, but not now. 

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