Japan tsunami 'could be 1000-year event'

dazdillinjah - the concept of the 1 in 1000 year event simply means that there is a 0.1% chance of it happening in any given year. With the likelihood that it will happen once in a millenium. This means that it could happen three years in a row; but is very unlikely.

dazdillinjah - the concept of the 1 in 1000 year event simply means that there is a 0.1% chance of it happening in any given year. With the likelihood that it will happen once in a millenium. This means that it could happen three years in a row; but is very unlikely. Ty ..I wish the reports that get broadcasted could be as specific and informative as how you have clarified it ..I do not mean to sound obtuse just very weary of experts predicting anything when they use totally vague language (prefer to be a realist)

Ty ..I wish the reports that get broadcasted could be as specific and informative as how you have clarified it ..I do not mean to sound obtuse just very weary of experts predicting anything when they use totally vague language (prefer to be a realist) To be fair, it's probably not the experts but the people reporting what they said. Chances are, the expert described it as a '1 in a 1000 year event', which, as Ip21why pointed out, means probablility of 0.1% each year. The reporters will then think they understand the idea and take it to mean 'happens every 1000 years'. Statistically, they shoul... [More]

The bolded part lol ..is the stuff great drama's are made of .. 1.) define 'region' 2.) define 'may' ...1 + 2 = 3.) Its just a wild guess The region is obviously the region talked about in the article. And that is not anywhere near the Indian Ocean.

Ty ..I wish the reports that get broadcasted could be as specific and informative as how you have clarified it ..I do not mean to sound obtuse just very weary of experts predicting anything when they use totally vague language (prefer to be a realist) Most people get confused when these types of terms are used. 1 in 1000 years sounds much more dramatic than a 0.1% probability per year - I personally don't like the term. It's similar to when people say a certain event occurs every x amount of years; and then state 'we are overdue' for it - just hogwash really. Back on topic though; Northern Jap... [More]

Just wanted to point out the article says "that a tsunami of this size could happen on average once every one thousand years." "On Average" is the key phrase here.

it means that it's sure it will happen but we don't know when. Start to warn people in 1000 years later then.

Just wanted to point out the article says "that a tsunami of this size could happen on average once every one thousand years." "On Average" is the key phrase here. Just one thing - isn't this based on the recent tsunami and one in the 9th century? That's an average taken from two; it's virtually meaningless.

it was caused by HAARP

it was caused by HAARP No, it were aliens.