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Scientists face jail over prediction failure

By T.K. Randall
October 23, 2012 · Comment icon 31 comments

Image Credit: CC 3.0 USDOI
Six Italian scientists face up to six years in prison because they failed to predict an earthquake.
The seismologists were part of the National Commission for the Forecast and Prevention of Major Risks when a court found them guilty of providing "inexact, incomplete and contradictory" information regarding an earthquake that occurred at l'Aquila in April 2009. The ruling has prompted a significant international outcry including an open letter to the Italian president from the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

"Years of research, much of it conducted by distinguished scientists in your own country, have demonstrated that there is no accepted scientific method for earthquake prediction that can be reliably used to warn citizens of an impending disaster," read the letter which was signed by 5,000 scientists.
Anyone who has been feeling that life these days is not sufficiently medieval need look no further than the Italian seismologists just sentenced for manslaughter for failing to predict an earthquake they had no scientific basis to believe was coming.


Source: Washington Post | Comments (31)




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Recent comments on this story
Comment icon #22 Posted by minera 12 years ago
They should be hauling in the Pope. After all he has a direct line to God so he should have predicted the earthquake. Only God knows what is to happen. Those idiots are looking for a scapegoat for something that is beyond the control of man.A bunch of dumb peasants.....
Comment icon #23 Posted by Professor Buzzkill 12 years ago
Quote Should scientists (or anyone in a position of authority) be held accountable for misleading information? If they are, our politicians are in BIG trouble. Doug "Before you speak, you should know that anyone, even a scientist, is held accountable for his words" THIS IS ITALY!
Comment icon #24 Posted by MJNYC 12 years ago
This was the DUMBEST thing I've ever heard. Who would ever attempt to predict anything again in Italy? You'd have to be nuts.
Comment icon #25 Posted by Raptor Witness 12 years ago
...Only God knows what is to happen ... On the day a great shadow crossed the epicenter of the darkest day in Japan's history ...Tuscany shook, and I broke my silence. - March 11, 2012In memory of those who have died in this terrible disaster(9. 0-Magnitude Japanese Earthquake,) I will remain silent, until Tuscany speaks. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H8I4KmIiibo A man can raise the dead one day, and be murdered the next, but the Lord of the Earth can do anything, for the sake of repentance.
Comment icon #26 Posted by tipsy_munchkin 12 years ago
They can give advice based on the information they have. They arent all knowing mystic oracles and can of course be wrong. It reminds me somewhat of when people sue over events that most would chalk up to an unfortunate accident. The need to blame rather than asses how better to avoid similar in future.
Comment icon #27 Posted by Ryegrog 12 years ago
I live in Tornado Alley and Meteorologist can't even be certain if a tornado will form or predict it's path. You can't predict Mother Nature.
Comment icon #28 Posted by whitelight 12 years ago
Maybe we should be stupid and incompetent. We'd never have to account for anything and other people would be responsible for our well being.
Comment icon #29 Posted by FlyingAngel 12 years ago
So if an unpredictable meteor happens to fall on a city, NASA would be sued?
Comment icon #30 Posted by Realm 12 years ago
I This ought to encourage children all over Italy to pursue a science degree. Talk about taking a step backwards to the dark ages.
Comment icon #31 Posted by tonyathas 12 years ago
Just when i think our species has evolved past Medievalism a story like this reminds me we are just poop flinging, scared little primates with iphones.


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