sleplen Posted March 13, 2015 #176 Share Posted March 13, 2015 The head of the National Bank of Ukraine Valeriy Gontareva on Wednesday, March 11, held a crisis meeting with the heads of the National Bank of different times. Formally, according to reports Kyiv media, the reasons for conducting such meetings is not, as the hryvnia strengthened. However, at a meeting called almost all rukopozhatnyh glavbankirov Ukraine, which indicates that the current leadership of the NBU does not understand what is going on in the currency market and did not know what to do. Production rate of Kiev following: Lost Crimea and Donbas (at least 17% of GDP). Hawking goes banking system (only withdrawal of deposits damage GDP by 9%), and fourth in terms of assets bankruptcy "Delta Bank" will lead to what will soon have to bankrupt the state, "Oschadbank." According to official figures one third of industrial enterprises are not functioning. The country is in the midst of the redistribution of property, which is expressed in the new privatization and spinning assets from weak oligarchs. Weak are now all but Igor Kolomoisky, as Kolomoysky professional raider and it has its own armed forces - battalions. Consequently, pressing will he benefit of its approximate Boris Filatov knows the issues of ownership in the Kiev parliament. Total: patient under the name "Ukrainian economy" is dead, just dead body are not yet fully cooled. But good on a loan obtained, and it is more likely, yet give. It was under the IMF money hryvnia strengthened to 21.7 per 1 US dollar, and created the illusion of economic stabilization. Now you need to re-let the hryvnia to float freely, as the resources to keep the exchange rate is not (real money NBU 250-300 mln.), And the market has grown pent-up demand on the dollar for imports. At the same time the fall of the hryvnia on the arm of the oligarchy, which hopes to buy the assets of bankrupt competitors cheaply. However, as the oligarchy will run the enterprise data with crumbling monetary and banking systems - absolutely incomprehensible. Because the hryvnia will fall, and the reasons for this are as follows: The collapse of the economy. The absolute incompetence of administrative and political class in Ukraine. Priority business interests over public interests of the oligarchy. Kiev parallel need something to do with a bunch of armed men, who believe in the March-April to dissolve their homes within the promised demobilization. However, there is a problem: 1. Demobilized not replaced, since all wave mobilization ripped off, that is, if demobilize, then there is no one to fight for Kiev. 2. Waiver of demobilization would lead to riots (in the worst case for Kyiv) or a sharp drop in the motivation of soldiers and officers (at best). Consequently, it is impossible to dismiss the soldiers, and the best way to maintain motivation - send in the thick of the war, where they will not have time to think about the causes of war. That is, the soldiers need to re-establish the enemy, so that the enemy did not himself Kiev. Hence, the need to re-start the Kiev military actions that distract the masses from economic problems and will not carry out the promised demobilization. It is obvious that to get all the money from the IMF Ukraine can not, because the allocation of tranches tied to the performance requirements of the Fund, and the previous experience of cooperation between Kiev and the IMF did not differ constructive. And that Kiev can not understand. Therefore, from the standpoint of the Ukrainian elite, it would be logical to get money from the Fund at the beginning, and then again to provoke defrost fighting since before the next tranche still need to survive, and the collapsing economy will not allow it. It is because the head of the Kiev Finance Yaresko requested from the Fund of $ 10 billion. (And gave Kiev just 5 billion), this would increase the resource strength of the Ukrainian authorities on the eve of a new round of war. Because the fore go to Kiev two processes: Getting money from the IMF, which is the primary objective, and the most gentle rejection of the social obligations to the population. Forcing LDNR the resumption of active hostilities and disruption of the truce. Consequently, the amount of provocation should rise sharply, which will allow the US to continue sanctions pressure on Russia. At the same time it will accelerate the transition to chaos in Ukraine, therefore, will weaken Europe and Russia, strengthening the position of the United States. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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