Alien Contact in About 1,500 Years

[Anomalocaris]

New Calculation Shows We’ll Make Contact With Aliens in About 1,500 Years

Quote

In a new study that will be presented at an American Astronomical Society meeting later this month, astronomers Even Solomonides and Yervant Terzian combine the Fermi Paradox with the Mediocrity Principle to show that we shouldn’t expect to hear from aliens for another 1,500 years. The reason has to do with the vastness of the Milky Way Galaxy, the time it takes radio signals to propagate through space as well as the apparent “averageness” of humanity in the larger scope of things.

Read more at Gizmodo

[bubblykiss]

Well, as long as they calculated in the multitude of past contact humanity has had with aliens in the past, then these numbers should flesh out perfectly.

Alt;

Ha, jokes on them. They clearly ain't spotted The Fleet currently in orbit of Europa.

[Ashyne]

Quote

 

It might take another 1,500 years before extraterrestrial aliens make contact with the human race, a team of astronomers has predicted.

The scientists performed a calculation based on the likelihood of technological civilisations arising among the stars, and the probable length of time they had been transmitting signals across space.

 

Why 1500 years? And why 1500 years from now? Why not 1500 years ago and today make alien contact, or 1500 years thousands of years ago, so ancient astronauts encounters?

What they calculate means that the alien civilization that will make contact with us is exactly the same age as our civilization and technological advancement. How do they know this?

Edited June 16, 2016 by Ashyne

[Habitat]

I am making a scientific prediction that if I parachute out of a plane on a dark night, and land in a lake, I will be nearer to the shore than the middle of the lake. It makes more sense than the 1500 year story too !

Edited June 16, 2016 by Habitat

[TripGun]

Of course this information is based on extraterrestrials having the same tech we use...In which case they will have destroyed themselves long before contact is established anyway.

[paperdyer]

Maybe the other intelligent life is hoping that if they ignore us, we'll go away!

[Maars]

2 hours ago, TripGun said:

Of course this information is based on extraterrestrials having the same tech we use...In which case they will have destroyed themselves long before contact is established anyway.

We would have destroyed ourselves long before then. They will get an inhabitable planet if they accidentally came across Earth

[Sweetpumper]

They have no idea.

[Podo]

1500 years, eh? I better start eating healthier if I want to see it.

[paperdyer]

3 hours ago, Maars said:

We would have destroyed ourselves long before then. They will get an inhabitable planet if they accidentally came across Earth

Based on how we kill ourselves off, the planet may be habitable. The visitors may also have to fight the cockroaches to get a foot hold though. 

[Ashyne]

Quote

This October, scientists discovered something they cannot explain: Unusually large hunks of matter orbiting the distant star KIC 8462852. Though the chances are very low, the bizarre matter could be a type of alien-built megastructure called a Dyson swarm. Right now, SETI scientists are using the Allan Telescope Array to determine if an alien civilization lives in this star system 1,500 light years from Earth.

http://www.businessinsider.sg/evidence-for-life-extraterrestrial-life-2015-10/?r=US&IR=T#.V2M-Zrt96Uk

I think they are referring to contacting the "alien megastructure" located 1500 light years away.