Hurricane Florence Becomes A Major

[Raptor Witness 812]

Hurricane Florence unexpectedly became the first category 3 or major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season today.

 It’s still very early in the forecast models but the consistency of a possible westward solution is a bit unnerving.

After what we saw with Harvey in Houston, and Maria in Puerto Rico last year, I am sure of that no one will be under estimating the potential for a catastrophic collision with U.S. this year.

 

[Raptor Witness 812]

 The top two models are not usually in agreement, especially this far out.

With the Jet Stream all but banished to the Northern Latitudes this year, I guess this is what we can expect to see more of in September.

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Source: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/JetStream.aspx

Edited September 5, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[and then 29,426]

We had a 2-year-old crushed by a tree falling onto a mobile home last night.  It happened about 20 miles from us.  To my knowledge, it was Gordon's only fatality.  The little girl had been in bed when the tree fell. 

[Raptor Witness 812]

Plenty of time to prepare, at least.

[Raptor Witness 812]

The European model continues to lay Florence down on US, overall.

Helene behind her, may revisit Maria’s old stomping grounds ....

 

Edited September 6, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[Farmer77 21,490]

Right now for personal reasons im much more concerned about that disturbance that just formed off the coast of Africa.

[Raptor Witness 812]

Interesting .....

[Varelse 611]

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

[Raptor Witness 812]

1 minute ago, Varelse said:

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

The official forecast is for a below average season. My forecast for this year was not ironic, nor political, but musical, and for the first time, I used the word "horror."

 

[Raptor Witness 812]

All the models are trending south ...

[Raptor Witness 812]

This is worth remembering, given the existing soil saturation above the D.C. area. 

1933 Chesapeake–Potomac hurricane - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_Chesapeake–Potomac_hurricane

[Farmer77 21,490]

It is not looking pretty for sure

[Raptor Witness 812]

Link to visible Satellite Floater of Florence,  which should not change ...

[Raptor Witness 812]

Latest European.....

Latest American Models ...

[Raptor Witness 812]

A sobering tune, if this plays at landfall ....

I’m glad I moved farther from the coast at the beginning of the Atlantic Season, this year.

”Spell out the horror, written in stone, found upon the face of it.” 6-9-18

Edited September 8, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[Raptor Witness 812]

The Latest Intensity Models show a Cat 5 at landfall .... off the chart, actually.

[Raptor Witness 812]

Speaking to South Carolina ... “The Earth is putting on her armor .... and her sword reaches to the sun”

 

 

 

Edited September 8, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[XenoFish 69,386]

You got something against South Carolina? 

[Raptor Witness 812]

This is setting up to be an Epic flood event .... including a possible stall on the coast.

Edited September 8, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[Varelse 611]

A few tracks show a close shave - hopefully it retreats. 

[Raptor Witness 812]

[Raptor Witness 812]

Latest ..  

Edited September 10, 2018 by Raptor Witness

[Raptor Witness 812]

Take it away Levi ....

 

[Raptor Witness 812]

The expected and prolonged stall on the coast will likely cause many times the beach erosion, normally seen.

Latest Euro Ensemble ....

Speaking to South Carolina ....  .... Please, don't put back the sand. May 25, 2016

 

 

[Raptor Witness 812]

There is nothing like being coned in the morning...  and I am old enough to remember when hurricanes had only feminine names.