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Raptor Witness

Hurricane Florence Becomes A Major

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Raptor Witness

Hurricane Florence unexpectedly became the first category 3 or major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season today.

 It’s still very early in the forecast models but the consistency of a possible westward solution is a bit unnerving.

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After what we saw with Harvey in Houston, and Maria in Puerto Rico last year, I am sure of that no one will be under estimating the potential for a catastrophic collision with U.S. this year.

 

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Raptor Witness

 The top two models are not usually in agreement, especially this far out.

With the Jet Stream all but banished to the Northern Latitudes this year, I guess this is what we can expect to see more of in September.

Florence- Top 2 Models... Florence- Top 2 Models...

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Current Jet Stream

Source: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/JetStream.aspx

Edited by Raptor Witness

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and then

We had a 2-year-old crushed by a tree falling onto a mobile home last night.  It happened about 20 miles from us.  To my knowledge, it was Gordon's only fatality.  The little girl had been in bed when the tree fell. :(

  • Sad 4

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Raptor Witness

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Plenty of time to prepare, at least.

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Raptor Witness

The European model continues to lay Florence down on US, overall.

Helene behind her, may revisit Maria’s old stomping grounds ....

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Edited by Raptor Witness

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Farmer77

Right now for personal reasons im much more concerned about that disturbance that just formed off the coast of Africa.

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Raptor Witness

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Interesting .....

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Varelse

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

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Raptor Witness
1 minute ago, Varelse said:

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

The official forecast is for a below average season. My forecast for this year was not ironic, nor political, but musical, and for the first time, I used the word "horror."

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Raptor Witness

All the models are trending south ...

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Farmer77

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It is not looking pretty for sure

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Raptor Witness

Link to visible Satellite Floater of Florence,  which should not change ...

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Raptor Witness

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Latest European.....

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Latest American Models ...

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Raptor Witness

A sobering tune, if this plays at landfall ....

I’m glad I moved farther from the coast at the beginning of the Atlantic Season, this year.

”Spell out the horror, written in stone, found upon the face of it.” 6-9-18

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Edited by Raptor Witness

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Raptor Witness

The Latest Intensity Models show a Cat 5 at landfall .... off the chart, actually.

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XenoFish

You got something against South Carolina? 

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Raptor Witness

This is setting up to be an Epic flood event .... including a possible stall on the coast.

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Edited by Raptor Witness

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Varelse

A few tracks show a close shave - hopefully it retreats. 

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Raptor Witness

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Raptor Witness

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Latest ..  

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Edited by Raptor Witness

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Raptor Witness

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Take it away Levi ....

 

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Raptor Witness

There is nothing like being coned in the morning...  and I am old enough to remember when hurricanes had only feminine names.

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