Hurricane Florence Becomes A Major

[Raptor Witness 764]

Hurricane Florence unexpectedly became the first category 3 or major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic season today.

 It’s still very early in the forecast models but the consistency of a possible westward solution is a bit unnerving.

After what we saw with Harvey in Houston, and Maria in Puerto Rico last year, I am sure of that no one will be under estimating the potential for a catastrophic collision with U.S. this year.

 

[Raptor Witness 764]

 The top two models are not usually in agreement, especially this far out.

With the Jet Stream all but banished to the Northern Latitudes this year, I guess this is what we can expect to see more of in September.

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

Source: http://www.intellicast.com/National/Wind/JetStream.aspx

Edited September 5 by Raptor Witness

[and then 26,786]

We had a 2-year-old crushed by a tree falling onto a mobile home last night.  It happened about 20 miles from us.  To my knowledge, it was Gordon's only fatality.  The little girl had been in bed when the tree fell. 

[Raptor Witness 764]

Plenty of time to prepare, at least.

[Raptor Witness 764]

The European model continues to lay Florence down on US, overall.

Helene behind her, may revisit Maria’s old stomping grounds ....

 

Edited September 6 by Raptor Witness

[Farmer77 18,469]

Right now for personal reasons im much more concerned about that disturbance that just formed off the coast of Africa.

[Raptor Witness 764]

Interesting .....

[Varelse 574]

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

[Raptor Witness 764]

1 minute ago, Varelse said:

Looks like a few models show one hitting Washington. That would be kind of funny in the ironic way. We can only hope the perfect storm conditions don't come together this season but the odds are looking like the US is going to get smacked by at least one giant in the next month.  

The official forecast is for a below average season. My forecast for this year was not ironic, nor political, but musical, and for the first time, I used the word "horror."

 

[Raptor Witness 764]

All the models are trending south ...

[Raptor Witness 764]

This is worth remembering, given the existing soil saturation above the D.C. area. 

1933 Chesapeake–Potomac hurricane - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1933_Chesapeake–Potomac_hurricane

[Farmer77 18,469]

It is not looking pretty for sure

[Raptor Witness 764]

Link to visible Satellite Floater of Florence,  which should not change ...

[Raptor Witness 764]

Latest European.....

Latest American Models ...

[Raptor Witness 764]

A sobering tune, if this plays at landfall ....

I’m glad I moved farther from the coast at the beginning of the Atlantic Season, this year.

”Spell out the horror, written in stone, found upon the face of it.” 6-9-18

Edited September 8 by Raptor Witness

[Raptor Witness 764]

The Latest Intensity Models show a Cat 5 at landfall .... off the chart, actually.

[Raptor Witness 764]

Speaking to South Carolina ... “The Earth is putting on her armor .... and her sword reaches to the sun”

 

 

 

Edited September 8 by Raptor Witness

[XenoFish 63,007]

You got something against South Carolina? 

[Raptor Witness 764]

This is setting up to be an Epic flood event .... including a possible stall on the coast.

Edited September 8 by Raptor Witness

[Varelse 574]

A few tracks show a close shave - hopefully it retreats. 

[Raptor Witness 764]

[Raptor Witness 764]

Latest ..  

Edited September 10 by Raptor Witness

[Raptor Witness 764]

Take it away Levi ....

 

[Raptor Witness 764]

The expected and prolonged stall on the coast will likely cause many times the beach erosion, normally seen.

Latest Euro Ensemble ....

Speaking to South Carolina ....  .... Please, don't put back the sand. May 25, 2016

 

 

[Raptor Witness 764]

There is nothing like being coned in the morning...  and I am old enough to remember when hurricanes had only feminine names.