UM-Bot Posted August 24, 2020 #1 Share Posted August 24, 2020 Rumors have been circulating about an asteroid strike on November 2nd, but just how worried should we be ? https://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/news/339013/asteroid-to-hit-earth-on-day-before-us-election 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post RoofGardener Posted August 24, 2020 Popular Post #2 Share Posted August 24, 2020 HA... the lengths Joe Biden will go to to avoid debating Trump live !! 5 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+OverSword Posted August 24, 2020 #3 Share Posted August 24, 2020 This was on the news this morning. The rock is 6 feet across and would burn up in the atmosphere. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted August 24, 2020 #4 Share Posted August 24, 2020 Feels like a non-story 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seti42 Posted August 25, 2020 #5 Share Posted August 25, 2020 14 hours ago, RoofGardener said: HA... the lengths Joe Biden will go to to avoid debating Trump live !! trump and Pence are the ones who need to be afraid. Especially if the debates are fact checked live, as they should be. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waspie_Dwarf Posted August 25, 2020 #6 Share Posted August 25, 2020 16 hours ago, OpenMindedSceptic said: Feels like a non-story Well it's an interesting story. Either it will be only the sixth time that an impact has been predicted before it happens (and the first time that an impact prediction will have been made more than a day before the event) or it will be one of closest fly pasts of an asteroid ever observed. This is a major achievement in the race to log potentially hazardous asteroids. As @OverSword has pointed out this asteroid is small, so small in fact that it is not considered potentially harmful. If it entered over a populated area the sonic boom and noise it generated when it exploded might rattle a few windows. A few stone, or small rock, sized meteorites might make it to the surface. However the information gained by being able to observe such an event will be invaluable to scientists for refining their models of asteroid impacts. The reality is that it almost certainly going to miss. 2018VP1 is currently given just a 0.41% chance of hitting Earth. Earth is 71% water covered and so 2018VP1 has just a 0.12% chance of entering over dry land. 95% of humanity lives on just 10% of the land surface and so there is just a 0.012% chance of this asteroid entering over a populated area. Even if this object hits Earth it is likely to go totally unnoticed except by satellites... but that doesn't make it a non-story. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laserburn Posted August 25, 2020 #7 Share Posted August 25, 2020 It's Trumps fault /s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted August 26, 2020 #8 Share Posted August 26, 2020 (edited) 11 hours ago, Waspie_Dwarf said: Well it's an interesting story. Either it will be only the sixth time that an impact has been predicted before it happens (and the first time that an impact prediction will have been made more than a day before the event) or it will be one of closest fly pasts of an asteroid ever observed. This is a major achievement in the race to log potentially hazardous asteroids. As @OverSword has pointed out this asteroid is small, so small in fact that it is not considered potentially harmful. If it entered over a populated area the sonic boom and noise it generated when it exploded might rattle a few windows. A few stone, or small rock, sized meteorites might make it to the surface. However the information gained by being able to observe such an event will be invaluable to scientists for refining their models of asteroid impacts. The reality is that it almost certainly going to miss. 2018VP1 is currently given just a 0.41% chance of hitting Earth. Earth is 71% water covered and so 2018VP1 has just a 0.12% chance of entering over dry land. 95% of humanity lives on just 10% of the land surface and so there is just a 0.012% chance of this asteroid entering over a populated area. Even if this object hits Earth it is likely to go totally unnoticed except by satellites... but that doesn't make it a non-story. Ermmmmmm, yeah it does make it a non story. Headline: there is a 99.6% chance that a an object we are tracking won't hit earth. And if it does, it will likely be unnoticed. Now in the sports news today, our reporter talks to the team with a near zero chance of winning at the Olympics next year. In business, we are talking to the CEO today of a business with a less than 1 in a 100 chance they will float on the Dow Jones. Later we take you on board a passenger plane as it takes off. They're very safe but you never know. Non-story! Edited August 26, 2020 by OpenMindedSceptic omitted a word that aided readability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waspie_Dwarf Posted August 26, 2020 #9 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 hour ago, OpenMindedSceptic said: Ermmmmmm, yeah it does make it a non story. Turn your ego down a bit. Just because it's your opinion doesn't make it fact. Some of us are capable of grasping why it's an interesting story. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted August 26, 2020 #10 Share Posted August 26, 2020 4 hours ago, Waspie_Dwarf said: Turn your ego down a bit. Just because it's your opinion doesn't make it fact. Some of us are capable of grasping why it's an interesting story. And your opinion was what again? This is a forum. A place where people share opinions and ideas. Why are you here? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigjonalien Posted September 1, 2020 #11 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Send in 'space force' and the fleet of tr-3b's, just before an election strange. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waspie_Dwarf Posted September 1, 2020 #12 Share Posted September 1, 2020 16 hours ago, bigjonalien said: just before an election strange. Lol What's strange? Objects this small pass close to Earth regularly. Quote Small asteroids a few meters in size are detected passing between Earth and the Moon’s orbit several times a month. Source: NASA The only unusual thing about this asteroid is that there is a small chance of hitting the Earth... noticing such objects before they hit is rare. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
docyabut2 Posted September 7, 2020 #13 Share Posted September 7, 2020 (edited) could be like when Russia had .a meter that broke windows https://abcnews.go.com/International/meteor-blast-injury-toll-russia-tops-1200/story?id=18510055 More than 1,200 people were injured Edited September 7, 2020 by docyabut2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waspie_Dwarf Posted September 7, 2020 #14 Share Posted September 7, 2020 51 minutes ago, docyabut2 said: could be like when Russia had .a meter that broke windows https://abcnews.go.com/International/meteor-blast-injury-toll-russia-tops-1200/story?id=18510055 More than 1,200 people were injured That meteor was 66 feet across, more than 10 times larger than 2018VP1. 2018VP1 is far too small to cause the kind of damage experienced at Chelyabinsk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waspie_Dwarf Posted September 7, 2020 #15 Share Posted September 7, 2020 On 8/26/2020 at 7:32 AM, OpenMindedSceptic said: And your opinion was what again? This is a forum. A place where people share opinions and ideas. Why are you here? I'm here because this is science section of the site. If you understood science you would realise that it is fact based, not opinion based. I am here to bring facts to counter ill-informed opinions. In science not all opinions are equal. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XenoFish Posted September 8, 2020 #16 Share Posted September 8, 2020 Wouldn't most of it burn up on entry? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+Hammerclaw Posted September 8, 2020 #17 Share Posted September 8, 2020 The only thing unusual about this particular object, is we know it's coming. https://cosmosmagazine.com/space/earth-hit-by-17-meteors-a-day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
docyabut2 Posted September 8, 2020 #18 Share Posted September 8, 2020 13 hours ago, Waspie_Dwarf said: That meteor was 66 feet across, more than 10 times larger than 2018VP1. 2018VP1 is far too small to cause the kind of damage experienced at Chelyabinsk. https://www.foxnews.com/science/asteroid-wider-two-football-fields-fly-past-earth-next-week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted September 9, 2020 #19 Share Posted September 9, 2020 On 9/8/2020 at 12:50 AM, Waspie_Dwarf said: I'm here because this is science section of the site. If you understood science you would realise that it is fact based, not opinion based. I am here to bring facts to counter ill-informed opinions. In science not all opinions are equal. The forum part of the science section. And this is still a non story as time will demonstrate. Wonder how your facts got you to a point where you think it will be a story? Let's see how many news outlets pick up on this so called story. I will put November 3rd in my calendar and be sure to check. Must go, gotta yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DingoLingo Posted September 9, 2020 #20 Share Posted September 9, 2020 On 8/26/2020 at 2:32 PM, OpenMindedSceptic said: Why are you here? He's here because he knows the science stuff your name seems a bit of a contradiction seems a bit closed minded to me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted September 9, 2020 #21 Share Posted September 9, 2020 9 hours ago, DingoLingo said: He's here because he knows the science stuff your name seems a bit of a contradiction seems a bit closed minded to me Oh dear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OpenMindedSceptic Posted November 5, 2020 #22 Share Posted November 5, 2020 On 9/8/2020 at 12:50 AM, Waspie_Dwarf said: I'm here because this is science section of the site. If you understood science you would realise that it is fact based, not opinion based. I am here to bring facts to counter ill-informed opinions. In science not all opinions are equal. I thought I'd wait a couple of extra days after the collision. What happened? I bet the media gave been all over this. The scientists must be in deep analysis by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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