Russia Masses Military Equipment Near Ukraine Borders: A Prologue to WWIII?

[Occult1]

3 hours ago, Cookie Monster said:

I have just been out food shopping and thats the first time in the UK (it didnt happen under Brexit or Coronavirus) that I have seen a supermarket with only a handful of each item on its shelves. UK wont end up in famine even if we have to pay more, but the grain, the fertilizer, the vegetable oils, so much of it comes form Ukraine and Russia that I think some peoples who have less disposable income are gonna starve.

The average citizens having trouble making ends meet are the ones who are going to pay the note for those sanctions. The wealthy elite who imposed them are of course, largely unaffected.

So much for ''hurting'' Putin.

 

Edited March 27, 2022 by Occult1

[Occult1]

Perilous Moment for Ukraine Nears as Mariupol Looks Set to Fall: Petraeus

''Former CIA director David Petraeus said Sunday that the next few days in Ukraine will be "a very tenuous period" as the city of Mariupol appears poised to fall to the Russians.

Speaking to ABC's This Week in an interview, he also said that the situation in the area has "become a bit of a Ukrainian Alamo."

"It's fighting to the last defender, and pinning down multiple Russian battalions and doing so very heroically. But ultimately, it looks as if it's going to have to collapse, it's going to be taken. And when it does that is a moment of some peril for Ukraine, because now that port can be used by the Russians," Petraeus stated.''

https://www.newsweek.com/perilous-moment-ukraine-nears-mariupol-looks-set-fall-petraeus-1692245

It seems Russia is about to create a land bridge between Crimea and the Donbass. The fall of Mariupol will also free up a significant amount of Russian troops to push further North.

Edited March 27, 2022 by Occult1

[Setton]

13 minutes ago, Occult1 said:

It seems Russia is about to create a land bridge between Crimea and the Donbass. The fall of Mariupol will also free up a significant amount of Russian troops to push further North.

Is it last week again already?

Edited March 27, 2022 by Setton

[Buzz_Light_Year]

2 hours ago, Occult1 said:

For Russia, the complete control of the Ukraine’s Black Sea and the Sea of Azov coasts is very important. It would give them an unprecedented political-economic advantage in the Black Sea region. There also the fact that if Ukraine is landlocked and effectively cut off from overseas trade, they will not longer be a serious threat in the future. Also, Russia needs to secure a land corridor between Crimea and the Donbass.

Well since Turkey has blocked the Russian fleet from entering or leaving the Black Sea then Russia controls nothing.

I'd like to see Turkey block all sea traffic that is destined for Russian ports, but alas a Naval blockade is considered an act of war under international law.

[Helen of Annoy]

1 hour ago, Occult1 said:

The average citizens having trouble making ends meet are the ones who are going to pay the note for those sanctions. The wealthy elite who imposed them are of course, largely unaffected.

So much for ''hurting'' Putin.

 

 

 

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/03/exclusive-kremlin-putin-russia-ukraine-war-memo-tucker-carlson-fox/

“It is essential to use as much as possible fragments of broadcasts of the popular Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who sharply criticizes the actions of the United States [and] NATO, their negative role in unleashing the conflict in Ukraine, [and] the defiantly provocative behavior from the leadership of the Western countries and NATO towards the Russian Federation and towards President Putin, personally,” advises the 12-page document written in Russian. It sums up Carlson’s position: “Russia is only protecting its interests and security.” 

Edited March 27, 2022 by Helen of Annoy

[+joc]

23 minutes ago, Helen of Annoy said:

 

 

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/03/exclusive-kremlin-putin-russia-ukraine-war-memo-tucker-carlson-fox/

“It is essential to use as much as possible fragments of broadcasts of the popular Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who sharply criticizes the actions of the United States [and] NATO, their negative role in unleashing the conflict in Ukraine, [and] the defiantly provocative behavior from the leadership of the Western countries and NATO towards the Russian Federation and towards President Putin, personally,” advises the 12-page document written in Russian. It sums up Carlson’s position: “Russia is only protecting its interests and security.” 

 I can only say that I anxiously await your 40,000th post Helen!

[Guest Br Cornelius]

Shall we just rename the Rubs soviets and be done with it.

 

Br Cornelius

[CrimsonKing]

8 hours ago, Helen of Annoy said:

Oh, no! I do not think Russia has any chance of taking over anything. They're on their way to geopolitic hell of poverty, irrelevance and internal conflicts. (Unless they save themselves by an urgent change of the regime.)

I do expect Putin to destroy Russia trying to take over Ukraine. He'll probably open more fronts (using both special, cold war-like methods and classic hot war type of conflict methods), to try diverting aid and focus away from Ukraine. Not going to work. The West is perfectly capable of paying attention to complex situations and has resources to respond to multiple fronts challenges.

While Russian logistics is hilariously outdated, corrupt and chaotic, American one can routinely reach any corner of the world, for prolonged periods of time. (That's equally important as having plenty of benevolent psychopaths/berserkers carrying out the high risk type of operations.)  

 

What is dangerous about Putin are not his ridiculous dreams of establishing the "Russian world". His Gypsy caravan type of disorganization can't possibly hold any area. (No offence meant for the honourable Gypsy caravans that are a part of European tradition too.) Ukraine will soon show how proper counter-offensive looks like. (I can already hear Russians moaning they're the real victims there.)

The danger is in Putin's lack of honour. His army deliberately aims civilians and civilian infrastructure. It's not an anomaly, it's a part of their doctrine. Genocide is not a side-effect of Russian "liberation", genocide is their main goal. 

While he can't hold any part of Europe, he can and will inflict maximum damage on civilians. 

His acts of aggression can and will disrupt economies of attacked countries, his propaganda and the traitors he bought already do and will continue to sabotage own countries.  

He can't possibly win (or stay in power much longer, not because of Americans, it's his own doing). But he can, he does and he will continue to murder civilians and ruin infrastructure. Today in Ukraine, tomorrow in any other European country.

 

And the nukes. He won't be allowed to use nukes, but if he manages to make it happen - he definitely absolutely wants to, he's just afraid to do it - the resulting answer (doesn't have to be nuclear at all, or at first) will solve the problem of aggressive Russia for the next few centuries. 

The reason why he's afraid to use the first nuke is precisely because he knows that would be the end of this charade.  

So basically Putin is an enraged toddler out trying to break others toys,and threatening to s*** the playpen for everyone else if he doesn't get his way... 

Honestly appreciate your, @Hammerclaw,and @DarkHunter takes...not going to take up a whole page quoting everyone.

Now back to making fun of them...

Reckon the Russian who ran over his own tank commander will be charged with a war crime? 

[Sir Wearer of Hats]

12 minutes ago, CrimsonKing said:

 

Reckon the Russian who ran over his own tank commander will be charged with a war crime? 

And given a medal by the US…

[CrimsonKing]

1 minute ago, Sir Wearer of Hats said:

And given a medal by the US…

We do love our participation trophies 

[Wepwawet]

I've been watching a short video of the Ukrainian "counter offensive" towards Kherson. It was one T-64 leading a small group of infantry on foot along a field towards the village of Posad-Pokrovskoe. This village is about halfway between Nikolaev and Kherson, and a stones throw into the border of Kherson oblast. The village itself has no Russian forces there.

The Russians seem to be reconfiguring, and their forces to the west of Kiev and around Sumy taking a defensive stance, while large groupings of forces are massing between Kharkov and Izyum ready to strike west and southwest as other forces strike out north and east from the southeast of Donetsk to swing around Zaparozhye and meet up with the forces heading west, thus creating a kettle for the Ukrainian forces on the Donbass, who are pinned down by LNR and LPR forces preventing them making a clean break from contact. Two known things have to happened first, and that is the end of the figthing at Mariupol, though maybe not essential, and the full securing of Izyum and the high points to it's south. Failure to secure Izyum in early 1943 led to the Red Army loosing the Third Battle of Kharkov, and setting the scene for the Battle of Kursk. The Rusians will hope to secure Izyum this time around, and then engage in a sort of reverse Kursk battle where it is them needing to encircle a large bulge of enemy forces, not at Kursk of course, but in the Donbass. Timeline, who knows, but I reckon by this time next week we will be witnessing a battle that while it will not equal the Kursk battle in numbers of forces engaged, will equal it, or even surpass it, in terms of firepower. While this is happening Kharkov will be fully encircled in order to block any attempt at a breakout to relieve the Ukrainian Donbass forces by hitting the Russians in the flank and rear. It is also possible that while the Russians west of Kiev are digging in, they may launch an offensive to the east of Kiev with the aim of surrounding the entire city, but not entering it.

We'll see how much of this transpires, I think the Donbass operation certainly, and the Russians have said that they are now turning their attention there, Kiev? perhaps depending on how the Donbass operation goes, or that rumour is just a diversion. Anything towards Nikolaev and Odessa? no, not until the Donbass operation is over, maybe.

[jmccr8]

9 hours ago, CrimsonKing said:

That's the fear I keep seeing on here,and yet a non NATO country equipped with mostly defensive weapons is kicking the Russians ass in one post,and the next all of Europe is under threat of being conquered by these same bunch of screwups if..."so and so isn't done!"

Hi Crimson

I think some people live in fear of many things and even when it is obvious that the Russian military were not equipped to take on the Ukraine they will flip to we are going to get nuked mode.

Russia has nuke protocols and the order to launch still has to go through those standards. I doubt that if Putin gave the order that it would be carried out as much of his military know what is going on and don't want to get nuked in return. They know they have a rough road ahead of them after this and even worst for them if they deploy nukes.

[ExpandMyMind]

1 hour ago, Br Cornelius said:

Shall we just rename the Rubs soviets and be done with it.

 

Br Cornelius

The irony is that Ukraine is actually older than the Soviet Union.

[Electric Scooter]

The Russia have jumped on the Azov videos of them knee capping Russian POWs.

[DarkHunter]

Ukraine just got their first shipment of starstreak manpads.  Once Ukraine starts fielding them shortly Russia wont really be able to do any more low altitude attacks with either helicopters or jets safely.  

[+and-then]

4 hours ago, CrimsonKing said:

Reckon the Russian who ran over his own tank commander will be charged with a war crime?

Nah... considering how fast Russia is losing generals, he might get a promotion instead.  That'd be a punishment  

[+joc]

6 hours ago, Br Cornelius said:

Shall we just rename the Rubs soviets and be done with it.

 

Br Cornelius

I don't know any Republicans who were raised Communists...other than Obama.  Oh wait, my bad, he wasn't a republican...never mind.

But he did have a plan for a World Wide Pandemic...and Russia did invade Crimea on his watch...and now Russia has invaded Ukraine on Biden's watch...who won against Trump by a 'landslide' because of all the Mailed in Votes.   And wallah...no Trump...Biden...and wallah...Russia invades Ukraine...hmmmm...interesting ain't it?

How is it again that we should rename the Republicans Soviets?  It was Biden himself who threatened Ukraine unless they got rid of an attorney the Democrats didn't like.  It was Ted Kennedy who handpicked a born Communist...Obama...to run against Hillary only because he believed that Obama could get us to Single Payer after Hillary failed as first lady who took up the pledge.

But wait...again...

I thought Russia was this great Democracy...well, actually I didn't, I warned you about Russia years ago...when everyone was saying, Gotta keep our eyes on China...and I said, No we need to keep our eyes on Russia...  But, I was told that they were a great Democracy, no longer run by Communists.  Oh well...go figure that one out Br C and get back with me please. 

[Occult1]

Zelensky opens door to making neutral status part of peace deal

''Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Sunday that his country would consider neutral status as part of a peace deal if such an agreement was guaranteed by third parties and put to a referendum.

"Security guarantees and neutrality, non-nuclear status of our state. We are ready to go for it. This is the most important point," Zelensky said, according to Reuters.

Zelensky also said that his country was considering using Russian language in Ukraine as part of its talks with Russia, but the president refused to discuss Moscow's other demands.''

https://thehill.com/policy/international/599940-zelensky-opens-door-to-making-neutral-status-part-of-peace-deal

Looks like Western Ukraine is about to be neutralized. Eastern Ukraine will choose to separate and become part of Russia. As previously said, the war is already over.

Edited March 28, 2022 by Occult1

[Sir Wearer of Hats]

25 minutes ago, Occult1 said:

Zelensky opens door to making neutral status part of peace deal

''Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Sunday that his country would consider neutral status as part of a peace deal if such an agreement was guaranteed by third parties and put to a referendum.

"Security guarantees and neutrality, non-nuclear status of our state. We are ready to go for it. This is the most important point," Zelensky said, according to Reuters.

Zelensky also said that his country was considering using Russian language in Ukraine as part of its talks with Russia, but the president refused to discuss Moscow's other demands.''

https://thehill.com/policy/international/599940-zelensky-opens-door-to-making-neutral-status-part-of-peace-deal

Looks like Western Ukraine is about to be neutralized. Eastern Ukraine will choose to separate and become part of Russia. As previously said, the war is already over.

So… basically Putin murders a whole bunch of folks in the Ukraine to get …. Exactly what he had before. 

[Occult1]

Air raid sirens across Ukraine as Russia pounds cities with missiles hours before new peace talks

Air raid sirens sounded in every region of Ukraine on Sunday night as Russia bombed cities across the country, according to reports from local media.

Russian naval forces are continuing “sporadic missile strikes against targets throughout Ukraine”, the latest intelligence assessment from the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said.

A “distant blockade” of Ukraine’s Black Sea coast was said to be “effectively isolating” the nation from international maritime trade.

[...]

Russia has started targeting fuel and food storage sites, Ukrainian interior ministry adviser Vadym Denysenko said after oil depots near Kyiv and Lviv were hit by Russian strikes on Thursday and Saturday respectively.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/air-raid-sirens-across-ukraine-as-russia-pounds-cities-with-missiles-hours-before-new-peace-talks/ar-AAVyPdj?ocid=BingNewsSearch

The demilitarization of Ukraine seems almost completed.

Edited March 28, 2022 by Occult1

[Sir Wearer of Hats]

1 hour ago, Occult1 said:

Air raid sirens across Ukraine as Russia pounds cities with missiles hours before new peace talks

Air raid sirens sounded in every region of Ukraine on Sunday night as Russia bombed cities across the country, according to reports from local media.

Russian naval forces are continuing “sporadic missile strikes against targets throughout Ukraine”, the latest intelligence assessment from the Ministry of Defence (MoD) said.

A “distant blockade” of Ukraine’s Black Sea coast was said to be “effectively isolating” the nation from international maritime trade.

[...]

Russia has started targeting fuel and food storage sites, Ukrainian interior ministry adviser Vadym Denysenko said after oil depots near Kyiv and Lviv were hit by Russian strikes on Thursday and Saturday respectively.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/air-raid-sirens-across-ukraine-as-russia-pounds-cities-with-missiles-hours-before-new-peace-talks/ar-AAVyPdj?ocid=BingNewsSearch

The demilitarization of Ukraine seems almost completed.

“We are ready to discuss peace terms” 

Russia continues to bomb the crap out of them 

“we said peace!”

”we said pieces…”

[Sir Wearer of Hats]

So what will the excuse for Sweden be? More Denazification? The need for more Leibenstraum? Because Occult’s great hero has warned Sweden to not join NATO or else. 

[Wepwawet]

8 hours ago, Cookie Monster said:

The Russia have jumped on the Azov videos of them knee capping Russian POWs.

Two of the perps have been identified, and this incident has even been reported on in the German media where they outright call it "Ukrainian warcrimes against Russians". I've not seen this reported in our media, but then I don't have the stomach to trawl all through that cesspit every day. Not yet seen any reports of the woman found tortured and murdered in the basement of school 25 in Mariupol. She had an arm ripped off and had a swastika painted in blood, presumably her own, on her belly, and presumably done by "people" who are "not nazis". The murder of prisoners of war can be found in the mainstream now, but for info on the woman in Mariupol, and other news of the reality of what has happened there, not the screaming hysterical bs, I advise searching Youtube for "Patrick Lancaster", an independant American journalist covering the war from Donetsk, not far away Lvov with most of the press corps, though German press are also now in Donetsk and reporting on the realities there, without, as the Italian La Stampa did, using photos of the Tochka-U strike in downtown Donestsk as "evidence" of a strike in Kiev. But it will be years before the entire truth comes out, and by then joe public will have moved on, oh, they already have, thanks to Will Smith, who can certainly throw a punch.

[Alchopwn]

I found this article on gulagu-net purportedly from an alleged FSB agent.  I thought people might find it interesting, as I did. 

1. One of the insiders from the special services of the Russian Federation, I will publish without edits and censorship, because this is hell: “I’ll be honest right away: I have hardly slept all these days, almost all the time at work, my head is a little floating, like in a fog. And from overwork, sometimes I already catch states, as if all this is not real.
2. To be honest, the Pandora's box is open - a real global horror will begin by the summer - global famine is inevitable (Russia and Ukraine were the main suppliers of grain in the world, this year's harvest will be smaller, and logistical problems will bring the catastrophe to a peak point).
3. I can't tell you what guided those at the top when deciding on the operation, but now they are methodically lowering all the dogs on us (the Service). We are scolded for analytics - this is very in my profile, so I will explain what is wrong.
4. Recently, we have been increasingly pressed to customize reports to the requirements of management - I once touched on this topic. All these political consultants, politicians and their retinue, influence teams - all this created chaos. Strong.
5. Most importantly, no one knew that there would be such a war, they hid it from everyone. And here's an example for you: you are asked (conditionally) to calculate the possibility of human rights protection in different conditions, including the attack of prisons by meteorites. You specify about meteorites, they tell you - this is so, reinsurance for calculations, nothing like this will happen. You understand that the report will be just for show, but you need to write in a victorious style so that there are no questions, they say, why do you have so many problems, did you really work badly. In general, a report is being written that when a meteorite falls, we have everything to eliminate the consequences, we are great, everything is fine. And you concentrate on tasks that are real - we don’t have enough strength anyway. And then suddenly they really throw meteorites and expect that everything will be according to your analytics, which was written from the bulldozer.
6. That is why we have a total piz_ets - I don’t even want to pick another word. There is no protection from sanctions for the same reason: well, it’s quite possible that Nabiullina will be sewn up with negligence (rather, the switchmen from her team), but what are they to blame for? No one knew that there would be such a war, so no one prepared for such sanctions. This is the reverse side of secrecy: since no one was told, then who could calculate what no one told about?
7.  
8. Kadyrov is going crazy. And the conflict almost started with us: perhaps even the Ukrainians threw in misinformation that it was we who handed over the routes of Kadyrov's special forces in the first days of the operation. They were covered there on the march in a terrible way, they had not yet begun to fight, but they were simply torn to pieces in some places. And off we go: it was the FSB that leaked the routes to the Ukrainians. I do not have such information, I will leave 1-2% for reliability (it cannot be completely ruled out either).
9. Blitzkrieg failed. It is simply impossible to complete the task now: if Zelensky and the authorities were captured in the first 1-3 days, they seized all the key buildings in Kyiv, they gave them the order to surrender - yes, the resistance would subside to the minimum values. In theory. But what's next? Even with this ideal variant, there was an unsolvable problem: with whom to negotiate? If we demolish Zelensky, well, with whom should we sign agreements? If with Zelensky, then after we demolish it, these papers are worth nothing. Opposition Platform for Life refused to cooperate: Medvedchuk is a coward, he fled. There is a second leader there - Boyko, but he refuses to work with us - even his own people will not understand him. They wanted to return Tsarev, so even our pro-Russians turned against him. Return Yanukovych? But as? If we say that it is impossible to occupy, then any of our authorities will be killed there in 10 minutes, as we leave. Occupy? Where are we going to get so many people? Commandant's offices, military police, counterintelligence, security - even with minimal resistance from the locals, we need 500 thousand or more people. Not counting the supply system. And there is a rule that by covering the poor quality of management with quantity, you only spoil everything. And this, I repeat, would be with the ideal option, which does not exist.
10. What now? We cannot announce mobilization for two reasons:
11. 1) Large-scale mobilization will undermine the situation inside the country: political, economic, social.
12. 2) Our logistics are already overstretched today. We will drive a many times larger contingent, and what will we get? Ukraine is a hefty country in terms of territory. And now the level of hatred towards us is going through the roof. Our roads simply won't be able to handle such supply caravans - everything will come to a standstill. And we won't manage to pull it out - because it's chaos.
13. And these two reasons fall out at the same time, although even one is enough to break everything off.
14.  
15. Losses: I don't know how many there are. Nobody knows. For the first two days there was still control, now no one knows what is going on there. You can lose large units in communication. They can be found, or they can dissolve due to being attacked. And there, even the commanders may not know how many of them are running around somewhere nearby, how many died, how many are in captivity. The number of deaths is definitely in the thousands. Maybe 10 thousand, maybe 5, or maybe only 2. Even at the headquarters they don’t know for sure. But it should be closer to 10. And now we don’t count the LDNR corps - they have their own accounting.
16. Now, even if Zelensky is killed, taken prisoner, nothing will change. There is Chechnya in terms of hatred towards us. And now even those who were loyal to us are against it. Because it was planned from above, because we were told that there would be no such option, unless we were attacked. Because they explained that it was necessary to create the most credible threat in order to peacefully agree on the right conditions. Because we were initially preparing protests within Ukraine against Zelensky. Excluding our direct entry. Intrusions, to put it simply.
17. Further civilian losses will go exponentially - and resistance to us will also only increase. They already tried to enter the cities with infantry - out of twenty landing groups, only one had a conditional success. Remember the assault on Mosul - after all, this is the rule, so it was in all countries, nothing new.
18. Keep under siege? According to the experience of military conflicts in the same Europe in recent decades (Serbia is the largest testing ground here), cities can be under siege for years, and even function. Humanitarian convoys from Europe there are a matter of time.
19. We have a conditional deadline of June. Conditional - because in June we have no economy left, nothing remains. By and large, next week there will be a turning point in one of the sides, simply because the situation cannot be in such an overstrain. There are no analytics - it is impossible to calculate the chaos, here no one can say anything for sure. Act intuitively, and even on emotions - but this is not poker for you. Rates will rise, in the hope that suddenly some option will shoot through. The trouble is that we, too, can now miscalculate and lose everything in one move.
20. By and large, the country has no way out. It’s just that there is no option for a possible victory, and defeat is everything, sailed at all. They 100% repeated the beginning of the last century, when they decided to kick weak Japan and get a quick victory, then it turned out that the army was in trouble. then they started the war to the bitter end, then they began to take the Bolsheviks for "re-education" into the army - after all, they were outcasts, uninteresting to anyone in the masses. And then, the Bolsheviks, who were not really known to anyone, picked up anti-war slogans and it started like this ...
21.  
22. From the pros: we did everything so that even a hint of the mass sending of "penalty boxes" to the front line did not pass. Send convicts and "socially unreliable" political prisoners there (so that they don't mess with the water inside the country) - the morale of the army will simply go into the negative. And the enemy is motivated, terribly motivated. He knows how to fight, there are enough middle-level commanders there. There are weapons. They have support. We will simply set a precedent for human loss in the world. And that's it.
23. What we are most afraid of: at the top, they act according to the rule of overlapping the old problem with a new problem. Largely for this reason, the Donbass of 2014 began - it was necessary to divert the attention of Westerners from the topic of the Russian spring in Crimea, so the Donbass crisis, it seems, should have drawn all the attention to itself and become the subject of bargaining. But there were even bigger problems. Then they decided to push Erdogan into 4 pipes of the South Stream and entered Syria - this is after Soleimani gave deliberately false inputs in order to solve his problems. As a result, it was not possible to close the issue with Crimea, there are also problems with the Donbass, the South Stream has shrunk to 2 pipes, and Syria has hung with another headache (if we go out, they will demolish Assad, which will make us look like idiots, but it’s also difficult and useless to sit).
24. I don't know who came up with the "Ukrainian Blitzkrieg". If we were given real introductory information, we would at least indicate that the original plan is controversial, that we need to double-check a lot. A lot of things. Now we got into the **** somewhere up to the neck. And it is not clear what to do. "Denazification" and "demilitarization" are not analytical categories, because they do not have clearly defined parameters by which one can determine the level of accomplishment or non-completion of the task.
25. Now it remains to be seen that some ****ing adviser will convince the top to start a conflict with Europe demanding to reduce some sanctions. Or reduce, or war. What if they refuse? Now I do not rule out that then we will be drawn into a real international conflict, like Hitler in 1939. And then our Z will be compared to us with a swastika.
26. Is there a possibility of a local nuclear strike? Yes. Not for military purposes (it will not give anything - this is a defense breakthrough weapon), but with the aim of intimidating others. At the same time, the soil is being prepared to turn everything to Ukraine - Naryshkin and his SVR are now digging the earth to prove that they secretly created nuclear weapons there. Damn, they are now hammering on what we have long studied and dismantled: you can’t draw evidence here on your knee, and the presence of specialists and uranium (Ukraine has a lot of depleted isotope 238) is nothing. There the production cycle is such that you can’t do it imperceptibly. You can’t even make a “dirty” bomb imperceptibly, but the fact that their old nuclear power plants can produce weapons-grade plutonium (plants like REB-1000 produce it in minimal quantities as a “by-product” of the reaction) - so the Americans introduced such control there with the involvement of the IAEA, that sucking on the topic is stupid.
27. Do you know what will happen next week? Well, even after two. Now it will cover us so much that we will start to miss the hungry 90s. While the auction was closed, Nabiullina seemed to be taking normal steps - but this is all like plugging a hole in a dam with a finger. It will still break through, and even stronger. Nothing will be decided in 3, 5, or 10 days.
28. Kadyrov beats his hoof for a reason - they have their own adventures there. He created for himself the image of the most influential and invincible. And if it falls once, it will be taken down by its own people. He will no longer be the owner of the winning teip.
29. We go further. Syria. "The guys will hold out, everything will be over in Ukraine - and there in Syria we will again strengthen everything in positions." And now, at any moment, they can wait there for the contingent to run out of resources - and such a heat will set in ... Turkey blocks the straits - to transport supplies there by planes, it's like heating an oven with money.
30. Notice that all this is happening at the same time, we don’t even have time to bring everything into one heap. We have a situation, like in Germany in the 43-44th. At the start right away. Sometimes I am already lost from this overwork, sometimes it seems that everything was a dream and it was a dream, that everything is as before.
31.  
32. In prisons, by the way, it will be worse. Now the nuts will begin to tighten so that to the bloody ichor. Everywhere. To be honest, purely technically, this remains the only chance to keep the situation - we are already in the mode of total mobilization. But you can’t stay in such a regime for a long time, and we have ambiguity with the timing and it will only get worse for now. From mobilization, management always goes astray. Yes, and imagine: you can run a hundred meters in a snatch, but it’s bad to go to a marathon distance and give a jerk with all your might. Here we rushed with the Ukrainian question, as if we were running a hundred meters, and fit into a cross-country marathon.
33. And that's what I'm talking about very, very briefly.
34. From the cynical, I will only add that I do not believe that VV Putin will press the red button to destroy the whole world.
35. Firstly, there is more than one person making a decision, at least someone will jump off. And there are a lot of people there - there is no "one-man red button".
36. Secondly, there are some doubts that everything is functioning successfully there. Experience shows that the greater the transparency and control, the easier it is to identify shortcomings. And where it is not clear who controls and how, but always bravura reports - everything is always wrong there. I'm not sure if the red button system works as advertised. In addition, the plutonium charge must be changed every 10 years.
37. Thirdly, and this is the most vile and sad thing, I personally do not believe in the readiness to sacrifice oneself of a person who does not let the members of the Federation Council, but his closest representatives and ministers, come close to him. For fear of the coronavirus or an attack, it doesn't matter. If you are afraid to let the most trusted people near you, then how will you dare to destroy yourself and your loved ones, inclusive?
38. If anything - ask, but I can not answer for several days. We are in rush mode, and there are more and more tasks.
39. In general, our reports are peppy, but everything flies in the pi_du.
40. Never before has this Gulagu.net source swearing, writing short and to the point. But even now he...

Translated using paste bin because I am too lazy to do it all myself despite being passable at Russian.  Looks like bumper times for US agriculture ahead. 

Those who have the money should seriously consider investing in Grain futures, but I am no expert so make of that what you will.

Next, given the hopeless standard of maintenance of Russian military equipment, there is a high chance that the nuclear arsenal which generally relies on tritium (not plutonium) will not have been replaced, and the missiles which were commissioned (likely before even my childhood) in all likelihood have not been properly maintained under Russia's Putin kleptocracy.  Putin's new nuclear glide bombs are likely very unreliable too.  The last one tested left the Arkangelsk Oblast polluted with radioactive material.

Edited March 28, 2022 by Alchopwn

[Helen of Annoy]

6 hours ago, Wepwawet said:

But it will be years before the entire truth comes out,

The screamingly obvious truth is that Russia attacked Ukraine, that Russia is committing war crimes against Ukrainian civilians and that the entire Russian aggression is illegal, fascist, disgusting, primitive and unforgivable. 

The consequential truth is that Putler's regime and its servants in the West are already trying to muddy the water, implying there can be justification for Russian invasion, complete with war crimes, spreading disinformation, insisting on "both sides are bad and Ukrainians are worse", forgetting conveniently that Ukrainians are defending themselves. 

Nope. 

Not going to help. Russia is the aggressor. If they don't want to be treated like an enemy, they should get the **** out of Ukraine. As simple as that.