Saru Posted July 6 #51 Share Posted July 6 6 minutes ago, Mark_C said: The crunch line is that they're usually about 99.4% accurate and this time they were "anomalous" That figure is not even accurate, you've done the maths wrong. The article you quoted earlier said that in the last election, the prediction for the winning party's seats was 3 seats out. The winning party doesn't constitute 100% of seats and this was for the number of seats overall, not constituency-specific totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saru Posted July 6 #52 Share Posted July 6 6 minutes ago, Mark_C said: I can see that, it was pretty close though in the end, unlike the Hartlepool result. Now you are just moving the goalposts. You can't just invent a vote share threshold at which you personally deem the result to be "anomalous". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark_C Posted July 6 Author #53 Share Posted July 6 5 minutes ago, Saru said: That figure is not even accurate, you've done the maths wrong. The article you quoted earlier said that in the last election, the prediction for the winning party's seats was 3 seats out. The winning party doesn't constitute 100% of seats and this was for the number of seats overall, not constituency-specific totals. Ok well we've wondered far away from the original point, they predicted a 91% chance of reform winning and they lost by nearly 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark_C Posted July 6 Author #54 Share Posted July 6 1 minute ago, Saru said: Now you are just moving the goalposts. You can't just invent a vote share threshold at which you personally deem the result to be "anomalous". I didn't, they went from 91% one way to 100% the other way, doesnt get more 180 degrees than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saru Posted July 6 #55 Share Posted July 6 2 minutes ago, Mark_C said: I didn't, they went from 91% one way to 100% the other way, doesnt get more 180 degrees than that. So you are suggesting that every major party was cheating then, given the examples provided to you ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark_C Posted July 6 Author #56 Share Posted July 6 7 minutes ago, Saru said: So you are suggesting that every major party was cheating then, given the examples provided to you ? No I don't think the politicians control anything. The only choice we have is what colour tie the chief actor wears. See how long Starmer acts like a lefty. Do you really think this man whos controlled by billionaires is a true communist/socialist ? Do his sponsors really want to live with us as equals ? Hahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Setton Posted July 6 #57 Share Posted July 6 13 minutes ago, Mark_C said: No I don't think the politicians control anything. Your OP literally claims Labour cheated. Now you've been soundly proven wrong, you're claiming the parties don't control anything. You don't know whether you're coming or going do you? It would be funny if it wasn't so pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saru Posted July 6 #58 Share Posted July 6 13 minutes ago, Mark_C said: No I don't think the politicians control anything. The only choice we have is what colour tie the chief actor wears. See how long Starmer acts like a lefty. Do you really think this man whos controlled by billionaires is a true communist/socialist ? Do his sponsors really want to live with us as equals ? Hahah You've gone off on a tangent now as this answer doesn't have anything to do with what we were discussing. I think it would be fair to conclude that the claim of electoral cheating put forward in the opening post has been satisfactorily debunked. Closed. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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