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Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election


OverSword

Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election  

35 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election

    • Harris
      19
    • Trump
      16


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Get your opinion counted

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13 minutes ago, OverSword said:

Get your opinion counted

You should have added a third choice - "don't know" - because who don't know will not vote!

JIMHO

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3 minutes ago, Grim Reaper 6 said:

You should have added a third choice - "don't know" - because who don't know will not vote!

JIMHO

One of these two are going to win, if someone doesn't have an opinion about it then they don't need to participate.

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Just now, OverSword said:

One of these two are going to win, if someone doesn't have an opinion about it then they don't need to participate.

It's your poll just making a suggestion!!!!!:yes:

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I'd say Trump. But it would be an upset if RFK Jr. won. Kinda like the Superbowl between the Jets & Colts in 1969. Remember Broadway Joe Namath? ;)

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20 minutes ago, Hawken said:

I'd say Trump. But it would be an upset if RFK Jr. won. Kinda like the Superbowl between the Jets & Colts in 1969. Remember Broadway Joe Namath? ;)

I would too. Remember Joe's pantyhose commercial?

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Hoover

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1 hour ago, Hawken said:

I'd say Trump. But it would be an upset if RFK Jr. won. Kinda like the Superbowl between the Jets & Colts in 1969. Remember Broadway Joe Namath? ;)

I always wondered what the Bear thought about Joe wearing that mink coat :lol:

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1 hour ago, lightly said:

Hoover

Truly a candidate that when people say he sucks, it’s a compliment. 

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2 hours ago, Michelle said:

I would too. Remember Joe's pantyhose commercial?

You mean this one? :lol:

 

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This guy finally has a legitimate chance this go around: 

Vermin_Supreme_August_2019.jpg.1684d96a261d6bf86b80b4376db55bd3.jpg

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I just saw this poll and found it to be interesting.  In short, Trump leads Harris in four battleground states, only in one is his lead outside the margin of error but the interesting point is that the Senate race in all four are being led by the Democrat. 

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/poll-donald-trump-kamala-harris/2024/07/25/id/1173882/#insticator-commenting

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Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Grim Reaper 6 said:

It's your poll just making a suggestion!!!!!:yes:

Edit to add: all polls by nature are flawed so they mean nothing.

The poll question is who will win, so we just toss our best guess at it?
Or in many cases maybe not all on purpose people will pick who they want to win which can be different to who will win.
Who will win? Idk.
But going on what I do see if I was asked the day before Biden dropped out I would have said trump, it would have been barely but trump.
But now it's all changed and something really bad would have to happen for Harris not to win.
The thing about my weird brain is my guess might change later today or two days from now, but yeah, as it stands Harris will win.

Edited by the13bats
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1 minute ago, the13bats said:

The poll question is who will win, so we just toss our best guess at it?
Or in many cases maybe not all on purpose people will pick who they want to win which can be different to who will win.
Who will win? Idk.
But going on what I do see if I was asked the day before Biden dropped out I would have said trump, it would have been barely but trump.
But now it's all changed and something really bad would have to happen for Harris not to win.
The thing about my weird brain is my guess might change later today or two days from now, but yeah, as it stands Harris will win.

I hope your right my friend, because the alternative will be disastrous for the country!!!!:yes:

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2 minutes ago, Grim Reaper 6 said:

I hope your right my friend, because the alternative will be disastrous for the country!!!!:yes:

That's just it, contrary to what magaT dream of the majority of the country look at trump the same way you do.
I'll save my longer babbling for other threads.

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17 minutes ago, the13bats said:

Edit to add: all polls by nature are flawed so they mean nothing.

The poll question is who will win, so we just toss our best guess at it?
Or in many cases maybe not all on purpose people will pick who they want to win which can be different to who will win.
Who will win? Idk.
But going on what I do see if I was asked the day before Biden dropped out I would have said trump, it would have been barely but trump.
But now it's all changed and something really bad would have to happen for Harris not to win.
The thing about my weird brain is my guess might change later today or two days from now, but yeah, as it stands Harris will win.

Yes the question is actually who do you think will win rather than who would you vote for.  I think Harris will win but I'm voting for Chase Oliver who I know will lose.

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6 minutes ago, OverSword said:

Yes the question is actually who do you think will win rather than who would you vote for.  I think Harris will win but I'm voting for Chase Oliver who I know will lose.

I tried to reply in the way I thought you desired, I didn't click a poll choice because I do change my mind at times.
Hopefully some day a dark horse 3rd will nail it.

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25 minutes ago, the13bats said:

Edit to add: all polls by nature are flawed so they mean nothing.

The poll question is who will win, so we just toss our best guess at it?
Or in many cases maybe not all on purpose people will pick who they want to win which can be different to who will win.
Who will win? Idk.
But going on what I do see if I was asked the day before Biden dropped out I would have said trump, it would have been barely but trump.
But now it's all changed and something really bad would have to happen for Harris not to win.
The thing about my weird brain is my guess might change later today or two days from now, but yeah, as it stands Harris will win.

Even if Trump looks like he's headed towards certain victory,as I told Grim yesterday...

Never count Republicans out from being able to s*** the bed weeks before an election 😆 

Masters at pulling defeat from the jaws of victory!

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14 minutes ago, CrimsonKing said:

Even if Trump looks like he's headed towards certain victory,as I told Grim yesterday...

Never count Republicans out from being able to s*** the bed weeks before an election 😆 

Masters at pulling defeat from the jaws of victory!

Let me put out a bats disclaimer that when I say magaT I do not put GOP in that little camp,
I have friends who were lifelong Republicans who had to turn their back on their party due to trump as time passes other followed them and a heck of a lot of Republicans feel like their party was stolen from them.
magaT are trumps subjects the few who support him no matter what he says or does, not unlike a kult.
They grasp at things like polls which are flawed by nature a poll relies on who is polled so flawed from the start plus I saw where tRump had a outfit set up to make him look ahead in polling, so polls are unreliable.
A lot of things happened and like I said Dems would have to really mess the bed badly to lose.

 

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52 minutes ago, OverSword said:

I think Harris will win

God forbid, but did you read that poll I cited?  I found it interesting that he leads her but Dems lead all other Repubs in those Senate races.  

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Hmmm.... 

Biden's Border Czar or MAGA-T 

🤔

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When Kamala ran for president in 2020 you could count on one hand the number of delegates who voted for her, assuming the hand in question had no fingers (that's a silly way of saying she got zero votes). I cannot see how someone that unpopular can beat any Republican candidate. The existential crisis that people felt after 2020 just doesn't exist in 2024, people remember good times under Trump and bad times under Biden. Trump will win, with the democrats having one of their lowest voter turnouts in history.

I'm not as confident as when Biden was still in the race, but Kamala was the absolute worst possible person they could have chosen to replace him. 

I think I will have a better idea of her chances after she picks her VP. If she picks someone who has zero interest in leading the party in 2028 that is probably a sign that the democrats are too scared to attach their name to a failed campaign. 

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10 hours ago, Link of Hyrule said:

When Kamala ran for president in 2020 you could count on one hand the number of delegates who voted for her, assuming the hand in question had no fingers (that's a silly way of saying she got zero votes). I cannot see how someone that unpopular can beat any Republican candidate. The existential crisis that people felt after 2020 just doesn't exist in 2024, people remember good times under Trump and bad times under Biden. Trump will win, with the democrats having one of their lowest voter turnouts in history.

I'm not as confident as when Biden was still in the race, but Kamala was the absolute worst possible person they could have chosen to replace him. 

I think I will have a better idea of her chances after she picks her VP. If she picks someone who has zero interest in leading the party in 2028 that is probably a sign that the democrats are too scared to attach their name to a failed campaign. 

I don't know about that.  Most VP's seem like ineffectual dolts and bland nobodies to me. 

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Given the current polling, and national attitude, to the best of my understanding, right now I'd say Trump is going to edge out Kamala. Getting the popular vote, as we saw with HRC doesn't always equal the win. Swing states are still all trending toward Trump.

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Latest polls post Biden dropping out still have Trump leading in most of the battleground states.

Wisconsin Trump is at 44% with Kamala also at 44%

Pennsylvania Trump is at 46% compared to Kamala at 42%. 

North Carolina Trump is at 46% compared to Kamala at 43%. 

Nevada Trump is at 45% compared to Kamala at 43%. 

Georgia Trump is at 47% compared to Kamala at 42%. 

Arizona Trump is at 46% compared to Kamala at 43%. 

Michigan has one poll with Trump at 44% compared to Kamala at 41% with another poll having Trump at 41% and Kamala at 42%.

Kamala is polling slightly better then Biden but still behind Trump and if the trend continues Trump does perform better then what he is polled on average.  It seems where Kamala is doing better is in blue states that Biden was at risk of losing such as Virginia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota.

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