Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump

[Unusual Tournament]

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.  
 

 

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/

[Unusual Tournament]

Looks like Kamala is now flipping Ruby Red states

[ExpandMyMind]

People might be quick to dismiss this, but the poll comes from an extremely reputable Iowa pollster.

She correctly predicted Obama wins where others failed to, and she also predicted Trump's win in 2016 (she said he was up by 7 points, and he won by 9).

I honestly have hope that Americans are going to stand up against the disaster of another Trump Presidency and Project 2025.

I'm probably totally wrong, but I think it's going to be a proper landslide for Democrats. I personally think Florida and Texas are in the mix.

[Gromdor]

I haven't seen that many political signs around and there are tons of people I know that are voting for Harris.  But that being said, there are a ton I know that are still voting for Trump.  I don't see it going for Harris with how Red our leadership is, though.  The Biden years hasn't been that bad for Iowa economy-wise and gas is under $3 a gallon here and the state Republicans are taking credit for that.  

[+Link of Hyrule]

Anyone notice that when polls have Kamala slightly ahead the headlines read "Harris ahead in polls", but when Trump is slightly ahead the headlines read "polls cannot split presidential candidates", and then the author waits until the body of the article to clarify that Trump is ahead but as the poll is within the margin of error it may as well be a tie. 

I've seen it a lot over the past couple of weeks, just saying

[Agent0range]

I know the polls show a tie in Pennsylvania.  But in 2016 and 2020, I have never seen anything like this. I didn't see Hilary or Biden signs.  I see Kamala signs everywhere.  From someone who lives in a deep red part of PA, I don't think PA will be close.  It just feels different.

[Unusual Tournament]

16 minutes ago, Link of Hyrule said:

Anyone notice that when polls have Kamala slightly ahead the headlines read "Harris ahead in polls", but when Trump is slightly ahead the headlines read "polls cannot split presidential candidates", and then the author waits until the body of the article to clarify that Trump is ahead but as the poll is within the margin of error it may as well be a tie. 

I've seen it a lot over the past couple of weeks, just saying

No I haven’t noticed that

[DarkHunter]

Emerson College, higher quality pollster according to 538, also released an Iowa poll today with Trump leading Kamala by 10% in Iowa.  Not a lot of polls out of Iowa but got one really good pollster saying Trump is up by 10% and another really good pollster saying Kamala is up by 3%.  Not really able to tell much from a sample size of 2.

Edited November 3 by DarkHunter

[ExpandMyMind]

31 minutes ago, Link of Hyrule said:

Anyone notice that when polls have Kamala slightly ahead the headlines read "Harris ahead in polls", but when Trump is slightly ahead the headlines read "polls cannot split presidential candidates", and then the author waits until the body of the article to clarify that Trump is ahead but as the poll is within the margin of error it may as well be a tie. 

I've seen it a lot over the past couple of weeks, just saying

No.

[Agent0range]

3 minutes ago, DarkHunter said:

Emerson College, higher quality pollster according to 538, also released an Iowa poll today with Trump leading Kamala by 10% in Iowa.  Not a lot of polls out of Iowa but got one really good pollster saying Trump is up by 10% and another really good pollster saying Kamala is up by 3%.  Not really able to tell much from a sample size of 2.

You live in PA.  Do you see more Kamala signs than Biden and Hilary signs?  I don't ever remember Biden and Hilary signs, but Kamala signs are everywhere.

[Tatetopa]

Depends on who you poll.  If you poll 50% women and 50% Gen Z people, it would look like Trump was already in the dustbin of history. If you poll 50% bros and 50% incels, Trump has it in the bag.

I think it won't be just Trump or Harris affected.   Those 58% women for Kamala will probably vote Blue up and down the ticket to protect their rights. If the bros get off the couch and out of the bars and vote in equal numbers to the women, Trump could pull it off.

Just a thought,  party separation seems to have been joined with gender separation.  That could be a problem bigger than one election.

[psyche101]

It's all over the net. Certainly seems legit. This would be an unexpected surprise. Best of luck. 

Come on north Carolina. With this, that would make Kamala comfortably in front I suspect.

[DarkHunter]

12 minutes ago, Agent0range said:

You live in PA.  Do you see more Kamala signs than Biden and Hilary signs?  I don't ever remember Biden and Hilary signs, but Kamala signs are everywhere.

Saw significantly less Trump and Harris signs then the amount of political signs in 2016 and 2020, less than half easily from 2020.  For the political signs Trump got approximately 60% and Harris got approximately 40%.  Should mention this is within the past three weeks which had a large increase in Harris signs.  Over a month ago the ratio was closer to 80/20.

Interestingly, and this probably doesn't mean much, Trump got all the flags and out of about 5 large signs, by large signs I mean people put out signs ranging from a 75 inch tv in size to a small billboard, only 1 was for Harris and it was the smallest with the rest being for Trump with the biggest being about 20 to 25 feet long and about 7 to 10 feet tall.

Edited November 3 by DarkHunter

[psyche101]

43 minutes ago, Link of Hyrule said:

Anyone notice that when polls have Kamala slightly ahead the headlines read "Harris ahead in polls", but when Trump is slightly ahead the headlines read "polls cannot split presidential candidates", and then the author waits until the body of the article to clarify that Trump is ahead but as the poll is within the margin of error it may as well be a tie. 

I've seen it a lot over the past couple of weeks, just saying

That hasn't changed. 

It's still neck and neck and I would say impossible to call at this point 

This is a significant turn around to surprise many. That's why it's news. Nobody expected Kamala to take Iowa. Now it actually seems a maybe she might. That's noteworthy news. Blue taking a traditional red state. If California tipped red it would be the same. 

Overall, nothing has changed as far as I know. It's 50/50. 

[+Shooter McGavin]

It's possible. Obama won Iowa twice. Trump twice. Iowa back to blue? They were hit hard with Trump's tariffs, that I know. Trump admin had to pour billions of dollars to keep the farms afloat. They used to be the leader in Soybean export. Not no more.

Edited November 3 by Shooter McGavin

[psyche101]

6 minutes ago, Shooter McGavin said:

It's possible. Obama won Iowa twice. Trump twice. Iowa back to blue? They were hit hard with Trump's tariffs, that I know. Trump admin had to pour billions of dollars to keep the farms afloat. They used to be the leader in Soybean export. Not no more.

Trump's proposed import tarrifs are going to increase lots of prices. Maybe you hit that nail square on the head. 

[Unusual Tournament]

[+and-then]

This is going to be interesting.  Before anyone loses any sleep over Trump losing Iowa, it's only 6 votes in the EC.  Even Alabama has 9.

[+and-then]

13 minutes ago, Unusual Tournament said:

That's funny but I bet it will almost be prophetic for some on the Left.  I fully expect chaos from them exceeding what they did in January of 2017 on his inauguration day.

[Tatetopa]

1 hour ago, Shooter McGavin said:

They used to be the leader in Soybean export. Not no more.

Didn't know that part.  Thanks.

[Unusual Tournament]

22 minutes ago, and-then said:

That's funny but I bet it will almost be prophetic for some on the Left.  I fully expect chaos from them exceeding what they did in January of 2017 on his inauguration day.

The only registered political chaos was that of Trump on January 6

[psyche101]

5 minutes ago, Unusual Tournament said:

The only registered political chaos was that of Trump on January 6

And an inauguration that trump was too childish stupid and unamerican to attend. Little piggy was throwing a tantrum instead. 

[psyche101]

45 minutes ago, Unusual Tournament said:

Outta likes for today so

  

[+and-then]

48 minutes ago, Unusual Tournament said:

The only registered political chaos was that of Trump on January 6

Bull ****.  If you have any integrity, I challenge you to go back and look through the stories of protests, violence, and looting after he won in 2016.  The riot on J6 is like a squabble between friends in comparison.  Those who are still trying to sell that 4-5 hour riot on the Capitol grounds as "insurrection" are either idiots or liars.  If he wins, he should immediately give all non-violent offenders a full pardon and those who are still being held without a trial date he needs to pardon and demand compensation for their pain and suffering as political prisoners.

[Unusual Tournament]

11 minutes ago, and-then said:

Bull ****.  If you have any integrity, I challenge you to go back and look through the stories of protests, violence, and looting after he won in 2016.  The riot on J6 is like a squabble between friends in comparison.  Those who are still trying to sell that 4-5 hour riot on the Capitol grounds as "insurrection" are either idiots or liars.  If he wins, he should immediately give all non-violent offenders a full pardon and those who are still being held without a trial date he needs to pardon and demand compensation for their pain and suffering as political prisoners.

Whatever those rioters done was on their own accord with monetary gain as their motivation. You can’t compare that to Trump’s insurrection against the state on January 6.