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Science & Technology

New data suggests no warming for 15 years

By T.K. Randall
January 31, 2012 · Comment icon 90 comments

Image Credit: sxc.hu
Global warming has been called in to question after the release of new Met Office temperature data.
In contrast to the idea that man-made global warming is heating up our planet, the new data suggests that there has been no increase in temperature at all over the last 15 years and that instead we are headed for a miniature ice age. Climatologists are expecting much colder weather over the coming years with forecasts being compared to the 70 year 17th century temperature drop that famously resulted in the River Thomas freezing over.
The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years.


Source: Daily Mail | Comments (90)

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Recent comments on this story
Comment icon #81 Posted by JayMark 13 years ago
I'm going to refer to the IPCC report (4th assessment). Sea level rose at an average rate of about 1.8 mm/year during the years 1961-2003. The rise in sea level during 1993-2003 was at an average rate of 3.1 mm/year. Depending on scenarios, it could rise up to 23 inches over average in the current century. Warming in the last 100 years has caused about a 0.74 °C increase in global average temperature. Depending on scenarios, it could raise up to 6.4° over average in the current century. Eleven of the twelve years in the period (1995–2006) rank among the top 12 warmest years in the instrume... [More]
Comment icon #82 Posted by Doug1029 13 years ago
Warming in the last 100 years has caused about a 0.74 °C increase in global average temperature. Depending on scenarios, it could raise up to 6.4° over average in the current century. The IPCC usually issues its forecasts using several different models so as to give a range of estimates. I would want to know what the other ones say before I jumped to conclusions. Another item of note: of the 1991 forecasts, all but the two most-conservative failed to hit their late 2000s targets. The 6.4-degree forecast sounds high, but I don't have the report in front of me, either, so maybe there's somethi... [More]
Comment icon #83 Posted by BFB 13 years ago
I'm going to refer to the IPCC report (4th assessment). Sea level rose at an average rate of about 1.8 mm/year during the years 1961-2003. The rise in sea level during 1993-2003 was at an average rate of 3.1 mm/year. Depending on scenarios, it could rise up to 23 inches over average in the current century. Warming in the last 100 years has caused about a 0.74 °C increase in global average temperature. Depending on scenarios, it could raise up to 6.4° over average in the current century. Eleven of the twelve years in the period (1995–2006) rank among the top 12 warmest years in the instrume... [More]
Comment icon #84 Posted by JayMark 13 years ago
The IPCC usually issues its forecasts using several different models so as to give a range of estimates. I would want to know what the other ones say before I jumped to conclusions. Another item of note: of the 1991 forecasts, all but the two most-conservative failed to hit their late 2000s targets. The 6.4-degree forecast sounds high, but I don't have the report in front of me, either, so maybe there's something in it to explain these numbers. I just ran the warming figures using the IPCC's own data set. 0.3358 degrees over the last century. We're probably using different models, but even so,... [More]
Comment icon #85 Posted by JayMark 13 years ago
Trust me, sea rise shouldn't be your main concern if the above is correct. I already know that and you are totoally right.
Comment icon #86 Posted by jbondo 13 years ago
You might want to check the arithmetic. I just did: Temperatures since 1996: 1996 43 1997 47 1998 77 1999 51 2000 50 2001 60 2002 71 2003 70 2004 63 2005 80 2006 70 2007 78 2008 57 2009 72 2010 86 2011 72 Temperatures are in hundredths of a degree centigrade above the 1951-1980 global mean temperature. Since 1996, temperatures have risen at an average rate of 0.01775 degrees centigrade per year, based on a simple straight-line model. 43% of the variation is "explained" by the model. The standard error is 0.01040 degrees centigrade. The probability of accepting a false conclusion is one part in... [More]
Comment icon #87 Posted by Doug1029 13 years ago
Something I'd like to know is if they took in consideration in one of their scenario the methane clathrate release. Could it be their 6.4°C worst case scenario? Do you have any informations on that? That could be, but I don't know for sure. You'll need to obtain their latest releases. Try Google. And as for the 0.3358°C, is it the global oceanic + atmospheric T° raise of just either of the systems? That's globally averaged gridded surface temperature. Land temps are from surface stations; since the early 90s (?) SSTs are from satellite data. Don't put a great deal of faith in that 0.3358-de... [More]
Comment icon #88 Posted by BFB 13 years ago
Something I'd like to know is if they took in consideration in one of their scenario the methane clathrate release. Could it be their 6.4°C worst case scenario? Do you have any informations on that? Read The Physical Science Basis in AR4, Chapter 10.4.3. Can't believe i'm saying this, but they have underrestimated future methane release in their AR4 report. That will probably change in the AR5.
Comment icon #89 Posted by JayMark 13 years ago
That could be, but I don't know for sure. You'll need to obtain their latest releases. Try Google. That's globally averaged gridded surface temperature. Land temps are from surface stations; since the early 90s (?) SSTs are from satellite data. Don't put a great deal of faith in that 0.3358-degree figure. It was a quick-and-dirty run without any nuances, just an average. It's good enough to suggest that there's something more to look at here, but not good enough to tell what you're looking at. The studies I've been reading show a 1.6-degree rise since 1908. They apply to specific areas and are... [More]
Comment icon #90 Posted by JayMark 13 years ago
Read The Physical Science Basis in AR4, Chapter 10.4.3. Can't believe i'm saying this, but they have underrestimated future methane release in their AR4 report. That will probably change in the AR5. Don't feel bad bro. Many (even very good and known) scientists allegedly yell out loud that the IPCC report is wrong. That's a side-effect of having a big portly pay-check coming straight from the "entities" that are at the center of the big misinformation campaings. We all know who these crooks are anyways. Can't wait to see the AR4 report. 2013-2014 if I recall. The whole "clathrate crisis" is qu... [More]
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