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Global warming 'on pause'

Posted on Tuesday, 23 July, 2013 | Comment icon 183 comments | News tip by: Still Waters

Image credit: CC 3.0 R N Marshman

Scientists at the Met Office claim that global warming is on pause but that it will soon speed up again.

While figures suggest that average global temperatures have not risen at all in the last 15 years, new reports have emerged claiming that this is likely to change within as little as 5 years. Far from playing down the significance of global warming, the research has indicated that temperature rises have simply been delayed because the world's oceans have been absorbing a lot of the heat.

"Global surface temperatures remain high," said the Met Office's Dr Peter Stott. "Twelve of the 14 warmest years on record have occurred since 2000, the lower troposphere the atmosphere above the surface is continuing to warm in recent years, and combined with the cooling in the stratosphere this is a distinctive fingerprint of the effects of greenhouse gases on the climate system."

"Surface temperatures around the world have not increased on average since the late 1990s, causing some sceptics to suggest that climate change is not happening as quickly as experts predict."

  View: Full article |  Source: Telegraph

  Discuss: View comments (183)


Recent comments on this story
Comment icon #174 Posted by danielost on 5 August, 2013, 15:46
There has been no global warming in the last fifteen years according to the met, this is what the op story says. I can tell that nether of you have read the story. Frank long before we become venus we will enter an ice age to cool things down. No chance we can become mars, earth is to wet. Bc looks like your cherry picking again. Only one data points show warming, which means all of the other data points shows no warming.
Comment icon #175 Posted by Frank Merton on 5 August, 2013, 15:54
As I understand it a greenhouse gas runaway effect could occur if enough methane should be released because of more gradual warming -- turning us into a planet much like Venus. I also understand that there is a lot of water on Mars -- it is just that it is frozen a little under the surface, and that it became frozen because of dust storms. These are no doubt remote possibilities, but in risk theory the seriousness of a possibility is a combination not just of its odds but also the intensity. I think you are entirely too glib when what I see is humanity and all other life on earth at risk, and ... [More]
Comment icon #176 Posted by Br Cornelius on 5 August, 2013, 16:00
The met office is not the most complete dataset after all, my mistake. the met office dataset doesn't cover the poles and so shows the weakest warming trend. The most complete dataset is GISS(NASA) which does cover the poles and shows warming over the last 15 years. I apologise for not checking my facts before stating them - but the best dataset shows continued warming as I stated. So only by using the dataset with the smallest coverage can it be said that the global mean temperature has not increased over the last 15 years. You really don't know what you are talking about Daniel, lo... [More]
Comment icon #177 Posted by Frank Merton on 5 August, 2013, 16:16
I'm not reassured by your response. Venus and Mars are the way they are because of their own histories and natures, and merely saying that the Earth is different doesn't say much. I'm worried more about methane than CO2, although at late stages of such a process CO2 would enter into it, the damage would already be done. With regard to the earth, I'm worried about deforestation or maybe smoke bringing about a planet wide dust storm similar to what happens occasionally on Mars. It would take only one to freeze all the water and create a Mars-like atmosphere. I have the feeling Ma... [More]
Comment icon #178 Posted by Br Cornelius on 5 August, 2013, 16:25
The methane bomb has gone off before a number of times in our planetary history. Feedbacks mean that equilibrium returns after a period of relative chaos. The unfortunate fact is that those periods of chaos have resulted in almost total extinction of life on the planet (over 90% of species). However the planet never locked into a new meta stable state comparable to either Mars or Venus as a consequence. Your fears are unfounded unless you are afraid for the extinction of most higher life forms. Br Cornelius
Comment icon #179 Posted by The New Richard Nixon on 7 August, 2013, 14:07
The met office? how many times they have been wrong in 20 years? lots. They can't even provide updated weather
Comment icon #180 Posted by Br Cornelius on 7 August, 2013, 14:42
Weather is far harder to predict than the progression of climate trends. Chaos is the dominant variable within weather but the statistics applied to climate smooth this variability out of the analysis. Br Cornelius
Comment icon #181 Posted by regeneratia on 12 August, 2013, 1:51
It was informative. I agree. There is a concept called "viral memetic infection", a concept created by an ex-moonie to explain why she got so caught up in the moonies. I think Gore is using this very sociological concept to further the "inconvenient truth" cult. He is coining phrases that people will use to argue or discuss this topic, regardless of the fact that many of his concepts are based on inaccurate science. I once wrote to his org. for a website to find the information he was presenting. They replied, merely asking for money, but did not direct me to the science ... [More]
Comment icon #182 Posted by Zaphod222 on 12 August, 2013, 11:00
Like my mathematician son uses to say: Never trust a statistic that you did not fake yourself. Just step back for a moment and let sink in what the Al Gore and his "global warming" crowd are talking about. The earth atmosphere contains 0.038 % (o point o three eight percent) carbon dioxide. Of this, only approximately 4 % (four percent) are contributed by human activity. Which mean 0.00152 % (o point o o one five 2 percent). So, among the thousands of factors that all undoubtedly have some small effect on climate (including cow farts, by the way), the global warming crowd wants to ... [More]
Comment icon #183 Posted by Doug1o29 on 12 August, 2013, 20:32
Something about your numbers doesn't add up. The atmosphere just passed the 400 ppm CO2 level (That's 0.040% CO2.). The CO2 level in the atmosphere was 280 ppm during the Ice Age. That's an increase of 120 ppm, or an increase of 42.4% attributable directly or indirectly to human activities. If you fit the Keeling curve to a logistic with an asymptote added, the result is a baseline CO2 level of about 305 ppm of CO2. That fits your assumptions a little better, but still leaves a long way to go. OR: the Keeling curve model might indicate that something happened before 1959 that we ... [More]

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