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Extraterrestrial

New 'formula for life' calculates odds of intelligent alien life

By T.K. Randall
November 14, 2024 · Comment icon 11 comments

Image Credit: NASA, ESA, CSA, STScI; Joseph DePasquale (STScI), Alyssa Pagan (STScI)
Scientists have created a new model to calculate how likely it is for intelligent alien life to emerge in the universe.
The question of whether we are alone in the universe remains one of the biggest philosophical conundrums of our time. While it seems almost inconceivable that our civilization is alone in the cosmos, the fact still remains that we have yet to see any evidence to the contrary.

The Fermi paradox, which highlights the contradiction between the likely existence of extraterrestrial civilizations and the fact that we have still never encountered any, seems to suggest that either there are no aliens out there, or they are so rare that it is unlikely we would ever come across them.

Now in a renewed bid to determine just how likely it actually is that intelligent alien civilizations could have arisen elsewhere in the universe, astrophysicists have developed a new model based on the acceleration of the expansion of the universe and the number of stars formed.

The formula works by determining the amount of ordinary matter converted into stars over the entire history of the universe relative to the density of dark matter.

Their model, as it stands, places this figure for our own universe at just 23%.
The same model can also be used to determine the likelihood of intelligent life in hypothetical, alternative universes with different dark matter densities.

"The parameters that govern our universe, including the density of dark energy, could explain our own existence," said lead researcher Dr. Daniele Sorini of Durham University.

"Surprisingly, though, we found that even a significantly higher dark energy density would still be compatible with life, suggesting we may not live in the most likely of universes."

It's certainly interesting to contemplate that life could exist not only within our own universe, but also beyond it.

"It will be exciting to employ the model to explore the emergence of life across different universes and see whether some fundamental questions we ask ourselves about our own universe must be reinterpreted," said study co-author Professor Lucas Lombriser.

Source: Phys.org | Comments (11)




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Recent comments on this story
Comment icon #2 Posted by Ratbiter 26 days ago
I believe there is life out there too, but todate I've never seen any figures to indicate how far developed it maybe. I mean are we the most advanced life form? maybe we are but would be interesting to know how/why we are not.  I mean did they progress the same way we did, fire, wheel, stored energy, microchips etc.  Someone has to be first but what is the criteria for determining it. 
Comment icon #3 Posted by Cho Jinn 26 days ago
We go into our own backyards to have exploratory, if not invasive and predatory, encounters with organisms with much lower intellects on a routine basis.  Many people make it their life's work to go bothers such creatures in their sleep, or capture them.  If we, for example, while passing Europa noticed some things crawling around on the surface, are you proposing that we would not go down to investigate?  If instead we observed a village or civilization, are you proposing that we would not attempt some type of contact with them?  Preposterous.
Comment icon #4 Posted by Amorlind 26 days ago
To summarize we have :  The Fermi Paradox The Drake equation The Amir Aczel equation ok life have to exist elsewhere in the Universe...what's next ?
Comment icon #5 Posted by Djehuty 26 days ago
We are talking here about possible extraterrestrial life forms, not about humans. Who can say what interests these beings have. Perhaps they are not interested in any of this. To presume to know how such beings would think is preposterous.  
Comment icon #6 Posted by joc 25 days ago
No, we are talking about intelligent alien life.  There can be no 'calculator' for that.  Maybe a calculator for the odds of life, but not of intelligent life.  There can be no calculator because there is no data for intelligent life except for us.  And we know that the only reason we exist is because of the asteroid that hit the Earth 66 million years ago.  Without that, we would probably still be a Lizard Planet.
Comment icon #7 Posted by Dejarma 25 days ago
Hello... You could be right: IN_MY_OPINION I'd suggest there's tons of intelligent life out there. With regards to the evolution of species I'd say we've all evolved roughly at the same rate- maybe the difference in technological advancement is only 100/1000 years? There maybe many that have cured their version of cancer but haven't invented interstellar capabilities yet!? Who knows?... I don't that's for sure ?
Comment icon #8 Posted by Dejarma 25 days ago
sounds to me like your suggesting highly intelligent off world lifeforms do exist- I'm presuming going by your posts so far. Am I wrong to presume? If so, my apologies 
Comment icon #9 Posted by Djehuty 24 days ago
But that doesn't mean that you necessarily have to know how intelligent life would behave. These are just estimates. Apart from that, it is clear from the context that I meant intelligent extraterrestrial life forms, as non-intelligent extraterrestrial life forms would not be able to make contact with humanity. 
Comment icon #10 Posted by Djehuty 24 days ago
I only said that it could be possible. The whole thing is just a hypothetical scenario. Maybe there's nothing out there. That wouldn't be a problem for me.
Comment icon #11 Posted by Portre 21 days ago
"A universe that maximizes entropy, or minimizes free energy, at the fastest rate possible will evolve toward a state that is increasingly complex, organized, alive, and intelligent." Stuart Kauffman quoted in The Romance of Reality by Bobby Azarian Bobby Azarian 


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