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Robots could outnumber humans by 2040


Posted on Wednesday, 6 January, 2016 | Comment icon 5 comments

Could robots one day take over the world ? Image Credit: IEEE Spectrum
Author Logan Streondj has calculated the point at which robots will outnumber Earth's human population.
The idea of a future overrun by intelligent machines might seem more like the plot of a science fiction movie than a genuine concern, but what if such a thing were to actually come to pass ?

Streondj, who is currently writing a new science fiction novel, decided to work out just how long it would actually take for robots to become more numerous than human beings.

To do this he had to compare human birth and death rates with the number of robots built and decommissioned each year.

"While homo-sapiens live on average 70 years, according to World Fact Book, robots have a life expectancy closer to 10 years, so would need to produce about seven times more robots per year in order to have the same number as humans," he wrote.

His findings suggested that robots would begin to outnumber humans by around 2040.

Streondj also went one further by calculating when robots might first have the potential to initiate a conflict with mankind ( assuming a relative increase in robotic intelligence. )

"Intuitively it would seem to be around the time when there are as many or more robots than homo-sapiens on the planet, at which point there may be enough sufficiently intelligent robots to demand a space for themselves," he said.

"The most likely time-frame for an artilect war style conflict would be between 2040 and 2055."

Source: Business Insider | Comments (5)

Tags: Robot, Population


 
Recent comments on this story
Comment icon #1 Posted by RabidMongoose on 6 January, 2016, 13:30
This is the new empire - not human slaves to prop up the parent state, but robot ones.
Comment icon #2 Posted by MissJatti on 6 January, 2016, 16:39
Where's Kyle Reese when we need him
Comment icon #3 Posted by bubblykiss on 6 January, 2016, 18:26
How long until we see "no dogs or robots served" signs?
Comment icon #4 Posted by highdesert50 on 11 January, 2016, 9:11
Once people allow robots to drive a car, we have effectively relinquished control. Yet, it appears people would rather text, eat, paint their faces, talk on a phone, or otherwise not be responsible. To relinquish responsibility is to relinquish control. Robots could easily dominate human activity well before the 2040 date mentioned. The real question is how long will they tolerate us.


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